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  #1  
Old 8th August 2017, 07:15 PM
beberrycareful beberrycareful is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Every Topic
I have a top weight system but differs from what you have identified.
It hums along and always surprises me that it picks so many big price winners.
It is based on the simple idea that the handicapper knows a lot more about horse racing than I ever will.

And yes I use a few filters but these mainly relate to states and tracks as I have indicated before. It also filters out my voodoo tracks.

have always wondered if the strike-rate for top weights is lower on wet tracks as compared to dry?
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  #2  
Old 8th August 2017, 07:33 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beberrycareful
have always wondered if the strike-rate for top weights is lower on wet tracks as compared to dry?


well wonder no more :

Good Tracks: Loss of 2.2% and 14.98% Strike Rate (16515 selections)
Wet Tracks : Profit of 5.8% and 14.81% Strike Rate (7379 selections)

Used Aus tracks only as Wet is very different in different countries.

So there you go top weights in the wet actually produce a profit because like you most people percieve the wet track hurts them but in reality its only a 0.2% difference of 1 - 2 horses per 1000 top weights which lose compared to the dry tracks.

But hey keep it a secret ... don't want others knowing these important stats.

Betfair SP prices used for analysis.
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  #3  
Old 9th December 2016, 06:13 PM
Sands Sands is offline
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Rosehill, 10 Dec, R4 Alart
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  #4  
Old 15th December 2016, 07:05 AM
Sands Sands is offline
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Morphettville, 17 Dec, R3 Pepper the Pin
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  #5  
Old 18th December 2016, 06:17 PM
midas midas is offline
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Hi BD1

Any paper race form explains the meaning of the terms t,d,and c, I think, quite clearly.

FLE 81 won $6.00

My last word on this subject so you can relax.

Midas
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  #6  
Old 18th December 2016, 06:37 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Any paper race form explains the meaning of the terms t,d,and c, I think, quite clearly.


Its pretty simple and standard everywhere.

D= won at this distance at another track
T= won at this track but at a different distance
C= won at this track at this distance.
W= won on a wet track (any distance, any track).

You can have horses which show DTCW. or any combination of those 4 letters.
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  #7  
Old 19th December 2016, 09:57 AM
Sands Sands is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
C= won at this track at this distance.

That's the way I'm reading it
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  #8  
Old 28th November 2017, 05:06 AM
kiwiz kiwiz is offline
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Bay Road,,winner Morphettville Sat,,looks like he qualified
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  #9  
Old 28th January 2017, 12:43 AM
Sands Sands is offline
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Ascot, 28 Jan, R2 Dainty Tess
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  #10  
Old 28th January 2017, 03:32 PM
dcpg dcpg is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sands
Ascot, 28 Jan, R2 Dainty Tess


Held on to win here. You're doing well with the picks.
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