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#1
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Beat the Donkey
Hi
I've revised some of the "rules" from the previous thread "The Daily Donkey", and have included the selections I would have posted over the weekend. Take these with however big a grain of salt you wish Basically I'm now laying all selections. I'm attempting to take a subset of the lay selections from the Daily Donkey website (w w w dot dailydonkey dot com), with the objective of returning a greater strike rate, and POT. I'll keep this going till the end of this month, and will try to post weekend selections. I'll be using the Racing Index (w w w dot racing-index dot com) as the source of results. Here's our selections and results to date: 20070306-0130 Newcastle - Neptune Joly ... LOST +1.00 20070306-0130 Newcastle - Flake ... WON -4.50 20070306-0200 Newcastle - Green Ideal ... LOST +1.00 20070306-0230 Newcastle - Alfabet Souk ... LOST +1.00 20070306-0330 Newcastle - Crackadee ... LOST +1.00 20070307-0210 Fontwell - Court Alliance ... LOST +1.00 20070307-0255 Catterick - Ask Bobby ... LOST +1.00 20070307-0315 Fontwell - Travelling Light ... LOST + 1.00 20070307-0315 Fontwell - Herecomestanley ... LOST +1.00 20070307-0325 Catterick - Truly Fruitful ... LOST +1.00 20070307-0345 Fontwell - Ouragan Lagrange ... LOST +1.00 20070308-0240 Wincanton - Wotashambles ... LOST +1.00 20070308-0315 Wincanton - Trading Up ... LOST +1.00 20070308-0425 Wincanton - Le Rochelais ... LOST +1.00 20070309-0100 Ayr - Wensley Blue ... LOST +1.00 20070309-0200 Ayr - Strong Resolve ... LOST +1.00 20070309-0235 Ayr - Or De Grugy ... LOST +1.00 20070309-0310 Ayr - Reckless Venture ... LOST +1.00 20070309-0345 Ayr - Something Silver ... WON -3.33 20070309-0420 Ayr - Daffi ... LOST +1.00 20070310-0255 Ayr - Jimmy Bond ... LOST +1.00 20070310-0330 Ayr - Mr Preacher Man ... LOST +1.00 20070310-0355 Sandown - Stan ... LOST +1.00 20070310-0400 Ayr - Almire Du Lia ... LOST +1.00 20070310-0420 Chepstow - Whitford Don ... WON -6.00 20070311-0110 Warwick - Nick's Choice ... LOST +1.00 20070311-0150 Market Rasen - First Feerie ... LOST +1.00 20070311-0220 Market Rasen - Aqua Pura ... LOST +1.00 20070311-0250 Market Rasen - Golden Oak ... LOST +1.00 20070311-0350 Market Rasen - Dance The Mambo ... LOST +1.00 20070311-0420 Market Rasen - Kayceecee ... LOST +1.00 20070312-0210 Taunton - Lady Wilde ... LOST +1.00 20070312-0230 Plumpton - Bright Eagle ... LOST +1.00 20070312-0240 Taunton - Sitting Duck ... LOST +1.00 20070312-0240 Taunton - Orsus ... LOST +1.00 20070312-0330 Plumpton - Malmo Boy ... WON -6.00 20070312-0410 Taunton - Shernatra ... LOST +1.00 20070313-0300 Cheltenham - Little Brick ... LOST +1.00 20070313-0315 Sedgefield - Emerald Destiny ... LOST +1.00 20070313-0315 Sedgefield - Dead Mans Dante ... LOST +1.00 20070313-0340 Cheltenham - Heads Onthe Ground ... WON -2.50 20070313-0340 Cheltenham - Spot Thedifference ... LOST +1.00 20070313-0420 Cheltenham - Gaspara ... WON -4.50 === RESULTS: March 6th - March 13th Pixie: === Number of Selections: 43 Successful Selections: 37 Strike Rate: 86.04% Total Profit: +10.17 units POT: 23.65% Daily Donkey: === Number of Selections: 248 Successful Selections: 182 Strike Rate: 73.39% Total Profit: +3.41 units POT: 1.38%
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash Last edited by AngryPixie : 14th March 2007 at 10:01 PM. |
#2
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Selections: March 14th
Remember these are lays.
Date-Time Course - Name 20070314-0200 Huntingdon - Ballykiln 20070314-0240 Huntingdon - King's Thought 20070314-0240 Huntingdon - Bawn Boy 20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Topless 20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Heart Strings 20070314-0405 Huntingdon - Glimmer Of Light Good luck
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#3
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Well done Though some of those picks were a little on the high side! |
#4
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Well done AP.
Perhaps we could even look at horses that continually go around at short odds and fail. That horse Little Brick has been a real money spinner for me
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 407,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/09/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#5
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How can you lose with something called Beat the Donkey !!!
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#6
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Quote:
this isnt like 'spanking the monkey' i hope |
#7
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Results: March 14th
A successful night for all. The Donkey's did very well, and we were lucky enough to choose correctly also.
Date-Time Course - Name 20070314-0200 Huntingdon - Ballykiln ... LOST +1.00 20070314-0240 Huntingdon - King's Thought ... LOST +1.00 20070314-0240 Huntingdon - Bawn Boy ... LOST +1.00 20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Topless ... LOST +1.00 20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Heart Strings ... LOST +1.00 20070314-0405 Huntingdon - Glimmer Of Light ... LOST +1.00 === RESULTS: March 6th - March 14th Pixie: === Number of Selections: 49 Successful Selections: 43 Strike Rate: 87.75% Total Profit: +16.17 units POT: 33.00% Daily Donkey:* === Number of Selections: 264 Successful Selections: 198 Strike Rate: 75.00% Total Profit: +9.50 units POT: 3.60% *I'd originally hoped to use the Racing-Index proofing pages to keep track of the Daily Donkey's results. This morning I've noticed some large discrepancy's between the results posted by the Daily Donkey site, and those posted on the Racing-Index site. In a nutshell the Daily Donkey is doing slightly better than the Racing-Index give them credit for. To this end I've created a simple spreadsheet and will record all the results myself using the Racing Post results as a reference. These are those.
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash Last edited by AngryPixie : 15th March 2007 at 12:19 PM. |
#8
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Quote:
Quote:
Above the belt please
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#9
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Quote:
Thanks Merriguy. Sadly I don't have as much influence over the SP's as I'd like. I layed Ballykiln quite early after posting my selections and it did get the blows from there. You decide what you want to do though. I'm laying to prices, so don't get on everyone of the selections. I'm hoping our stats can stay about the same or better than where they are. I think it would be possible to lay them all and still have a profit then. Remember that the SP's used in compile the results are the official (above 100%) ones, and do not take commission into account. Hope your getting some sleep
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
#10
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Quote:
Chrome I'm not that familiar with UK racing but have noticed how quickly some horses back-up. Sometimes the next day! As you say there must be quite a few that regularly just make up the numbers. Good idea, I'll try to look out for them.
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash |
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