Hey guys havn't been on here in ages..
But i just thought i would chuck this system up that i put together using the DFS computers at the TAB

* Must be fourth up from spell(not sure what the computer judges a spell as)
* Must have finished out of placings in all 3 starts this prep
* Must have had at least 7 career starts
* Must have had a minimum of 2 career placings
* Must be in the top 5 for average prizemoney per race.
* Field size is must be at least 7 horses prior to scratchings.

This system is obviously aimed at picking up double figure overs playing off the tab sheets only showing last 3 starts. The rule regarding prizemoney is in there to strike out the donkeys that wouldnt do anything 1st 2nd or any-up.
If anyone could check this system on their records it would be much appreciated.
Made a profit on Saturday and broke even Sunday, today had 5 selections for a very profitable result.

Darwin Race 3 #7, Won paying $8
Moe Race 5 #6, Won paying $22
Cessnock Race 3 #2 Ran 3rd paying $27 for the win
" " Race 6 #12 Ran like a donkey $22 for the win
Forbes Race 4 #8 Ran 2nd paying $8 the win.

I'm guessing it would be hard to be profitable with any system betting with the tab, so i'm guessing with a long shots system that betfair would be preferable.
Cheers Trev

Actually not a bad system and I really like most of it [especially 4th up], but it has an odd point that doesn't seem to line up. 7 starts min, with 2 career placings? How does that get the horse into the top 5 average prize-money earnings unless it's running at Hanging Rock or another very low class field of chaff bandits?

Might be good to put on a price max. But geez, at the prices coming up it would have to be $25/$30?

The plan can work well,

especially if one adds the rule...

10 runners exactly.

This increases its SR & reduces the run of outs.

Cheers.

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Cheers.

I like the system but i would blackbook them so if they didn't win today you could follow them, if you include a min win % that would also rule out donkeys

Yeh i would scrap the 2 placings thing and just stick with the 7 starts.
The win% is a fair idea but I think one of the winners was a 10 year old, who was just majorly down in class and obviously needed the three runs.

Only picked up 3 selections tommorow and possibly only two runners.
Wodonga Race 5 #2
Ballarat Race 7 310
Townsville Race 8 #11

Might be worth following the system as is for awhile unless someone can do the stats. for the last year. Nice results so far!

Using >15% plc S/Rate (Metro only) & 7 runners or less

1/7/07-
Sel 77
Wins 12
S/R 15.5%
Profit 4.5 units
POT 5.84%
Min div $2.8
Max Div $23.0

Using >29% plc S/Rate (Metro only)

1/7/07-
Sel 66
Wins 11
S/R 16.7%
Profit 12.7 units
POT 19.24%
Min div $3.3
Max Div $23.0

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Stix
.......Giddy Up..... !!