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  #1  
Old 30th January 2010, 05:56 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Default Update on Michaelg's neural system

here are the results from 27/07/09 to yesterday

JA: S/R 45.86% POT 4.5% Max outs 6
CRS: S/R 45.91% POT 3.3% Max outs 9
CP: S/R 43.84% POT 2.0% Max outs 10

These are at Supertab prices and since mostly under $5.00, BFair prices would probably increase the profit.

Not bad going for a simple system.

Note, every item in neurals set to max.

Good luck


PS OOOps must have 270 points !

Last edited by lomaca : 30th January 2010 at 06:16 AM.
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  #2  
Old 30th January 2010, 07:16 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Thanks for the update, lomaca. The stike rates are very impressive.

Unfortunately I haven't been following the system but after the results I will begin to do so, most likely with Betfair, maybe even with the TAB.

Hope you've been betting them.

Just out of interest, have you recorded any results for Place betting?

Last edited by michaelg : 30th January 2010 at 07:22 AM.
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  #3  
Old 30th January 2010, 07:33 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks for the update, lomaca. The stike rates are very impressive.

Unfortunately I haven't been following the system but after the results I will begin to do so, most likely with Betfair, maybe even with the TAB.

Hope you've been betting them.

Just out of interest, have you recorded any results for Place betting?
Yes I have the results and will run it for the place as well, the strike rate is good but the profit is a bit skinny, the highest divi was $4.10, most of them are around the even or in the 2.5 to 3.3 range, that's why I thought Betfair might be a go.
longest out is a worry but by the same token, there were six winners in a row too!
Due to the S/R I think they would be suited for the multiples maybe?
Will post the results for the place, maybe tomorrow.

PS I restrict betting to less than $5.9 so there may have been higher divis but I found the range below $5.9 to be the best.

PPS, These are all for non Metro races!!!!!

Last edited by lomaca : 30th January 2010 at 07:49 AM.
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  #4  
Old 30th January 2010, 08:02 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Thanks, lomaca.

According to my records not only did I delete Metro but I may have also done so with Maidens. And I also looked at the outright highest in the TIM category.
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  #5  
Old 30th January 2010, 08:07 AM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks, lomaca.

And I also looked at the outright highest in the TIM category.
Yes I have the results for the tim as well but they are losing.

here is for the Trainer: S/R 38.57% POT -18.1%
TIM: S/R 40.47% POT -1.3%
JT: S/R 44.36% POT -2.7%
Time nearly breaking even.

Will have to Zip the other file it's too big!
Attached Files
File Type: txt NJPerf27291P.txt (13.9 KB, 540 views)
File Type: txt Ntrck27301P.txt (16.6 KB, 474 views)

Last edited by lomaca : 30th January 2010 at 08:17 AM.
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  #6  
Old 30th January 2010, 02:18 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks, lomaca.

According to my records not only did I delete Metro but I may have also done so with Maidens.
So you did, ************, I'm re-running it now, should make an enormous difference, but much reduced activity. (less bets)

takes a while to run it even on my super duper fast machines due to the complexity of the interconnected databases.
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  #7  
Old 30th January 2010, 04:36 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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lomaca, there were 3 Maidens today, Toowoomba R4 no.1 is still to run. The other 2 Maidens produced a winner of $1.90 and $1.40 to Place, and the other ran second paying $1.50.

There have been 3 non-Maidens for two winners paying $1.50 and $1.20 to Place, and the other paid $1.90 and $1.20. The third (Hobart R5 no.6) ran second paying $1.00 - but it had only one race start which one could easily question the accuracy of its neural points.

Is it possible to also look at selections that have had only one race start - this might eliminate some losers, particularly in Maidens?

Last edited by michaelg : 30th January 2010 at 04:41 PM.
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  #8  
Old 30th January 2010, 08:09 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
lomaca, there were 3 Maidens today, Toowoomba R4 no.1 is still to run. The other 2 Maidens produced a winner of $1.90 and $1.40 to Place, and the other ran second paying $1.50.

There have been 3 non-Maidens for two winners paying $1.50 and $1.20 to Place, and the other paid $1.90 and $1.20. The third (Hobart R5 no.6) ran second paying $1.00 - but it had only one race start which one could easily question the accuracy of its neural points.

Is it possible to also look at selections that have had only one race start - this might eliminate some losers, particularly in Maidens?
Sure, I can look at all that, I'm running the no maiden no Met less than $5.00 at the moment, tried to include all prices for the first run this arvo, but it's a waste of time.
I haven't run the total analysys for a long time because when I do my ratings in the morning I have the different criteria already built in for Met and maiden races and for the restricted RB races, and the programme picks them up and treats them accordingly.

Just finished the first criteria run which is the trainer, and not having the maidens included, the profit turned around from -18% to +2.6% and the S.R is 42%.
This time I'm running it according to race date so it might be easier to follow the result.

Email you when it's finished.

Good luck
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  #9  
Old 31st January 2010, 03:35 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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lomaca, there was one non-maiden selection today: Cranbourne R7 no.1. It won paying $3.10 and $1.40.
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  #10  
Old 31st January 2010, 04:47 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
lomaca, there was one non-maiden selection today: Cranbourne R7 no.1. It won paying $3.10 and $1.40.
According to my rules I found four, all at CRA
CRA Race 1 Maiden 7 Cheilani Ntrck P$2.70

CRA Race 2 Maiden 4 Skidding Ntime No good

CRA Race 3 Maiden 6 Linton NJT won
CRA Race 3 Maiden 6 Linton NTrainP

CRA Race 7 Class 1 1 Nato Ntime won
CRA Race 7 Class 1 1 Nato Nallperform
CRA Race 7 Class 1 1 Nato Ntrck


Done all the tests but not the place yet, not a lot of change but and a big BUT Maidens 270 point and CRS GO GO GO!

Sort out my thoughts about it, and let you know. One thing I found, they must have changed the algorithm with the new website, definite fall away in some parameters as far as win% and profit goes, see how it performs in the future. The new feature, "Morning Line" on offer is a definite no-no, utter loser so far at least for the top sel.

Good luck
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