For those interested, this system [a stats. proofed version impossible to analyze or backfit] with it's selections shall return under another thread.

Cheers.


[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:34 ]

Looks like a good idea Crash. Good luck.

Ran it for Sat Metro 1991 - 2003

Strike Rate 26.2%
Loss .......-5.3%

:sad:

[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:11 ]

I wish you luck.

YR ... SR ...... LOT

92 ... 28.1 ... +2.0%
93 ... 29.1 ... +2.8%
94 ... 26.3 ... -2.4%
95 ... 26.0 ... -1.4%
96 ... 21.9 ... -19.9%
97 ... 25.7 ... -9.0%
98 ... 27.6 ... -1.6%
99 ... 24.6 ... -15.6%
00 ... 26.2 ... -4.0%
01 ... 27.2 ... -5.3%
02 ... 25.7 ... -7.4%
03 ... 26.1 ... -3.9%

I hope you find your "streak". Even if you shorten up your criteria you're on a loser ... no disrespect intended ...just a statement of facts.

Just a sugestion,
maybe delete any qualifyer that is less than $4.50 in the prepost market.
The SR is there ,so value needs to be targeted.

__________________
Cheers.

[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:12 ]

[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:15 ]

This gives a Strike rate of 14.9% and LOT of -10.7% over 13 yrs.

If you adjust to Barrier <=6 and SP <=$4.50
then you get SR 32.3% and LOT -5.7%

In this latter case yr largely dealing with favourites, the first case (because of the $4.50 - $9.00 price bracket) is probably excluding many shorty winners.

What it does demonstrate is that you can't get rid of the LOT by playing with the acceptable SP because of the inverse ratio between SR and return.

rgds

[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-04-13 06:16 ]