Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 14th April 2011, 10:36 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default Stable Runners

I have long seen the benefits of following runners but some of the draw backs are when to start and stop following, what horse should i follow and having the bank to follow them.

The bank is interesting because some would think it is the same as day to day punting but this is not the case because if you choose to follow only a few horses you could become bored with the lack of action.

On the other hand following to many horses could dry up your bank waiting for the wins.

I am going to start a stable of runners adding new runners when they come along, i have a set of rules for picking these runners to try and avoid long outs, i will also use a black book service and post when they are due to run again after selection, i have created a mini data base to hold the info and will be staking these runners for 10 starts to a price of 3/1 that means if at any time they win and pay better than $4 i will profit.

Most of the selections will be backed from a spell until they win then will be dropped.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 15th April 2011, 07:19 AM
max max is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 178
Default

Sounds good Shaun. I am keen to see how these go as I think runners are good to follow, especially for a set and forget punter like me who likes to set the bets in the morning and see how they went at the end of the day.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 15th April 2011, 11:01 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

Below is the format i will be listing the runners for the stable, as i said i will be Backing for 10 starts and staking to a $4 price this involves 27 units to start 10 or until a win.

There are a few runners to start but i will slow up as we move along.


Stable

Code:
Danagaze Fab Fevola Faster Son FillyDelphia Herculian Prince Niblick Niwot Rhythm Of Dance Thankgodyou'rhere

Racing

Code:
April 16 DANAGAZE DOOMBEN R1 No.6 (1200m)1 unit FAB FEVOLA DOOMBEN R3 No.5 (1020m)1 unit FASTER SON DOOMBEN R6 No.4 (1200m)1 unit FILLYDELPHIA DOOMBEN R7 No.16 (1350m)1 unit NIBLICK FLEMINGTON R5 No.4 (1400m)1 unit NIWOT FLEMINGTON R6 No.6 (2000m)1 unit RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R2 No.8 (1200m)1 unit HERCULIAN PRINCE RANDWICK R5 No.2 (2000m)1 unit THANKGODYOU'REHERE RANDWICK R8 No.13 (1100m)1 unit RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R9 No.17 (1400m)1 unit
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 15th April 2011, 03:52 PM
max max is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 178
Default

what staking plan are you using?

So each horse is staked separately?
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 15th April 2011, 03:57 PM
max max is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 178
Default

You have Rhythm of Dance twice

Quote:

RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R2 No.8 (1200m)1 unit
HERCULIAN PRINCE RANDWICK R5 No.2 (2000m)1 unit
THANKGODYOU'REHERE RANDWICK R8 No.13 (1100m)1 unit
RHYTHM OF DANCE RANDWICK R9 No.17 (1400m)1 unit
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 15th April 2011, 05:14 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

Unless it is ************ Pharlap i don't think it will run in both races so it will be scratched from one.

That info is sent via a black book service so i posted what they sent me.

Yes each horse is independent of the others.
The staking as i mentioned in the other post is betting to a price of $4 so we will follow each runner until it wins or reaches 10 starts placing a stake each run to return losses plus a profit if the horse pays $4 or more, here is the full stakes of the series.

1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 5 7 total 27 Units
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 15th April 2011, 05:16 PM
max max is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 178
Default

Thanks Shaun

Will be following keenly.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 16th April 2011, 08:26 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

I am going to revise the staking after today as i think following for 10 starts is far to much, the way i see it most horses show form by the 5th or 6th run from a spell and if we have this as a cut off then the stakes are not to high and can be recovered by other winning selections at a higher price.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 16th April 2011, 08:56 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

This is the new staking i will use.

1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 6.0
This reduces the price needed to between $3 and $4 also reduces the total to 19 units over 7 races
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 16th April 2011, 04:15 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

Winners
Code:
Danagaze +3.13 Niblick +8.55 Niwot +6.34


These 3 are now removed from the stable
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 12:24 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655