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#91
10th May 2007, 06:12 PM
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Hi ****************,
Because this method involves both backing and laying strategies. There really is no reason to stop at a profit if the odds are in your favour longterm. It's just when various bookies put up some dummy odds that it messes things up.
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg 
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#92
10th May 2007, 06:14 PM
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Today was better - 3.06 units profit.
May Tally 355 wagers 25.21 units profit (less 5% commission) 7.10% POT Been a few days now since double digit profit, looking forward to the next three days in particular  Have been asked to post the last two months together, so here 'tis... April / May Tally 1258 wagers 117.39 units profit (less 5% commission) 9.33% POT As you can gather May kicked off gangbusters and then proceeded to slump way below the average - as Keating said "A correction is imminent" 
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg Last edited by Chrome Prince : 10th May 2007 at 06:20 PM.
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#93
11th May 2007, 05:44 PM
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My positive thinking yesterday, led to a nice 10.53 unit profit today!
May Tally 381 wagers 35.74 units profit (less the 5% commission) 9.38% POT April / May Tally 1284 wagers 127.91 units profit (less 5% commision) 9.96% POT Maximum price of winner still only $8.00 My personal goal is 200 units profit by May 31st.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg Last edited by Chrome Prince : 11th May 2007 at 05:46 PM.
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#94
12th May 2007, 06:53 PM
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A loss of 8.89 units today.
May Tally 442 wagers 27.29 units profit (less 5% commission) 6.17% POT April / May Tally 1345 wagers 119.47 units profit (less 5% commission) 8.88% POT
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#95
12th May 2007, 08:45 PM
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Chrome
Do you have a feel for whether your method is more successful on the weekend or on a weekday?
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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#97
12th May 2007, 10:07 PM
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Quote:
Hi Angry Pixie, There have been a lot more bets midweek obviously, but since going live, here's the breakdown... Saturday's Only: 336 wagers 45.91 units profit(less 5% commission) 13.66% POT Weekday: 1009 wagers 73.56 units profit(less 5% commission) 7.29% POT
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#98
12th May 2007, 10:33 PM
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Quote:
Good one Crackone, You might want to have another look at it though. Opened $4 or longer: 301 wagers 64.89 units profit (less 5% commission) 21.56% POT Opened less than $4 1044 wagers 54.57 units profit (less 5% commission) 5.23% POT
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#99
13th May 2007, 10:51 AM
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"You might want to have another look at it though."
My spread sheet reads like this All up 307 bets 14.48 units profit (started on the biggest loser day) $4 & above 65 bets 25 unit lose Laying the $4 above 1.5 units profit Backing the Firmers and Drifters is the big loser 26.5 units only two winners in 29 bets This is opposite to your sample spread sheet where both are in good profit. I find a good day can be spoilt by a $4 lay getting up late in the day.
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#100
13th May 2007, 11:17 AM
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Crackone,
Is this your own spreadsheet from when you started? I can't follow why there is such a remarkable difference. Are you absolutely certain that the drift/lay bet percentages are calculating correctly? I.E. that firmers are sometimes bet or lay propositions as are drifters. If you think it is, or you are actually using my spreadsheet to calculate it, then some investigation is needed. EDITED: Actually, upon thinking about it, you could be experiencing a temporary trend. I thought about what you said a few weeks ago myself about a high priced horse spoiling an otherwise good day. It sometimes certainly works out that way, but to balance it out, when a drifter goes from $3.00 to $5.50 and you can get up to $6.00 on Betfair, it makes up for it. Anyway, keep doing what you're comfortable with, as long as you're in profit, it doesn't matter, and you can look at it again when you have more data and make a decision.
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg Last edited by Chrome Prince : 13th May 2007 at 11:23 AM.
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