Whatever they gave it ,,it still wasnt enough..
the 3 i gave chances in that race came 4th 5th and 6th ..lol one of those days..
I reckon Qld are certanties tonight..jump on..

and just incase i get toooo ********ed tonight..the 3 nominated losers for tomorrow are
Grand Merlot , Rebelete and Solomons seal...but beware the weekday run of outs continue....the best thing i've done lately is scale down my midweek betting ..keep chipping away like this though and i'll have nothing left to bet with come Saturdays...

its seems my betting account has a withdraw only option...

Dirty on myself in the first at Sydney...i backed Blue Lyric last start at 50's and was a nice place result..today i thought Yareven was to good especially the way he went right past him last start even though the distance suited Blue Lyric more today..so i just forgot about the race and concentrated on the others where in actual fact Yareven rated so highly and was probably the best bet of the day...and he won like it to..
frustrating..

Bad luck Mav. Thought the General did a great job, weight just told in the end.

Opio ran her usual unlucky fast finishing race and is starting to get expensive, don't know if she would've won but she would've been right there today with a better run. That's what you get for betting on flashy finishers instead of one paced tough horses like Ski for Kings.

A win today !! wooohoo

Solomons Seal saluted..broke the dreaded run of outs..
Grand Merlot ..dissapointing again..is better than these last 2 runs..will wait till he hits 2000m on a good track,,
Rebelete was never going to be good enough in this race a win though targeting Sir Dan, Umatrick and alitle on rebelete just incase..

still experimenting with this Target beting ..have used it with great affect in races where i think theres 2 or 3 standouts..especially in the bigger races where theres value...

still behind for the week but catching up..

Lair is racing tomorrow...needs our help to finally break through..has his chance tomorrow against a bunch of donkeys..
this is the horse that tested Startcraft once early in his career..
will be having a sympathy e/w on him for fun...

Rose of Kwilla is a booker running tomorrow..got smashed against the rail last start and should of won..is better over alittle more ground but against this lot has a big show..the barrier is the only concern she gets back anyway so it shouldnt worry her to much...

King Of Illawara (dry) and Cellay are in the book as well..

Go Lair

The Merlot Now fan club is having token bets on the Nows at Murray Bridge tomorrow ..we've been on a roll lately and we'll need all the luck we can get.

good luck all

What are you doing exactly???

Today i like:

Murray Bridge 3-2 Some Kinda Storm.... The ONLY horse in the race who has shown any glimpse of good form, quite a good 3rd last start. Should beat this bunch

Seymour 2-11 Radiant Charm.... Returns here after a few good placings. Consistent type for a maiden. Lovanip the danger

I've been looking at Connoly's plan Mav, and have tested it using my Read bets over the last twelve months, including the favorite or second favorite if my selection was favorite. It's showing a 2 % POT over 300 races (not enough i know) this figure is conservative however as i was working only off Unitab prices and even using Superprice this could be considerably higher, not to mention clauses for odds on favorites, or my judgement in the second horse selection. Looks a good safe way of intermingling form study, punting thrill, and hopefully making a quid.

King of Ilawarra won like pharlap today...i only had 1 unit on for the win as i was worried about him handling the track.. how stupid was i..would of been nicely cashed up for tomorrow..
Cellay nearly got there but still a nice collect on the place..

and poor old Lair ...didn't mind the way he eventually finished off..looking like a mile and a half or more will suit..

The nows didn't win for the Tipping Club..but we jumped on the 8.50 about Consular tomorrow...fingers crossed

Sportz...with the target betting ..i'm just targeting a specific amount to win...
yesterday approx 1000 units...Sir dan 400 , Umitrick 400 .rebellete 100 ..
for 900 invested ..ateast a 2000 return and some change..
i did this with that Vitese Dane win..also had cinque centro and irish darling..
also that Admiral spy race ..his first win..when i had him and 2 others..

i do this when i have 2 or 3 standouts that i cant seperate..i had sir Dan and Umitrick evenly rated ..way above the nearest which was Rebelette...and they both started at 5's and 6's....the same with Viteses danes race ..she when they were all 7's or higher..

i might have a go at it again tomorrow..still doing the form..

Been busy of late dont mind a few tomorrow.
Ipswich race 4 No 6 AZZASON.
Forgive last start had everything go wrong, has a great winning strike rate and could go close in this field. In a pretty open race there might be some value.

Ballerat race 7 no 1 DONDOBINE.
I think this horse has a class edge over others here. He has beaten better horses home than the ones hes up against here. Bust up won today and didnt run a place to him a few starts ago, should be in the finish. Danger here would be regal rapt, had a big win on him recently with a huge run.

A couple I also will look at will be grafton 3 Lawlini, like the way it has been going, tougher here but should be nice odds, and ballarat 9 pumkin jack, winning form is good form, conditions shouldnt be a problem, like his chances but normally dont like 400m either side of last run.

Hope we find a winner.
LUV2BET

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Just might add to that. I dont know if anyone seen race 4 in Darwin today but would be interested in peoples views. I know someone involved in the winner there today and that horse was not supposed to win.... say no more.. One for the blackbook peoples, wait til it really RUNS.

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