When it comes to human behaviour, you are spot on I believe. Not just in relation to what punters chase (and don't tend to chase) but every other aspect or variable in horse racing that has a human element as a fundamental. Once you understand this point, things start getting easier. If it human and predictable we can map and track it numerically I believe.

That is the really exciting bit for me!

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

With All ups maybe. Depends on the strike rate and odds.

With the greatest respect to you Lord Greystoke, the best proposition is to DYOR. You need thousands of hours of testing, you need a feel for what's going to repeat, what's solid.....you're not going to benefit from someone else's opinion anywhere near the same degree as you are if you do the hard yards yourselves. The reason you're looking for some sort of conformation is that you've not found out how to prosper from this caper.

You'll not prosper from others doing the hard yards for you.

And those who find that statement an insult, then, you don't get it.

At a glance, appears to return 3-4 out of 5 quite consistently. Would be interested to see how it stacks up state v state.

LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

I think it is a bit of both Snert. How do you think the great artists - musicians - scientists conjure up great works? If you delve a bit deeper, you will find there is always an element or elements which have been obtained from somewhere else in addition to hard slog. Whether this be conscious (pinching and borrowing ideas and inputs from elsewhere) or unconscious (influence, education etc).

LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

10 Feb

Warwick Farm:
She Will Reign 1st.

Caulfield:
Gailo Chop 1st.

Doomben:
Plumaro 2nd.

Pinjarra:
Kiss The Breeze 5th.

Morphettville:
Counterplay 2nd. Itz Invincible 1st.

24 Feb

Rosehill:
Estijaab 2nd.

Caulfield:
Gailo Chop 1st.

Doomben:
Meeting Postponed.

Ascot:
Eleven Seconds 4th.

Morphettville:
Incomparable 1st. Blue Tycoon 1st.

10 Mar

Randwick:
Estijaab 1st. Redzel 1st.

Flemington:
Kings Will Dream 1st.

Doomben:
Miss Sara 1st.

Ascot:
Western Temple 2nd.

Morphettville:
Iconoclasm 1st.

14 July

Rosehill:
Rekindled Force 3rd.

Caulfield:
Rillito 2nd.

Sunshine Coast:
Zoustyle 1st. Privlaka 2nd.

Belmont:
Atlanta Blue 1st.

Morphettville:
Thorondor 1st. Cougar Express 4th.

Hi Neil
With your high strike rate I was wondering if you had thought about combining all the Sat SMBA selections as all ups e.g.:

ABCD
AB
AC
AD
ABD
ACD

BCD
BC
BD

CD


If the first leg can win with one other ...not bad ..but more winners could be Ok... on average ?????

Midas