#171
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![]() Don't think I'll be posting the so called "value" selections any more. They're proving to be no value at all at the moment, because they've fallen in a complete hole!!! I think they're actually still showing a profit since I started posting them, but even so, they're not proving worthwhile at the moment.
All I was trying to do with this was pick out one of the top rated runners which I thought would end up being a good value each-way bet. But in many cases, by the time the race comes, it isn't any value, or one of the other top raters simply ends up being a better bet. And it was proving to be difficult in some races to choose the best value bet. For example, in R7 in Sydney today, I tossed up between Sir Interdane and Fancyfree as the "value" bet and look what happened. In future, I WILL probably post some betting suggestions for each race, but I won't pick out just one "value" selection. |
#172
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![]() As opposed to the value selections however, the multi selections have gone really well today!
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#173
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![]() ROSE R1 (NEVILLE SELLWOOD STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE 33 . $3.0 . 2 MOLOTOV 28 . $3.6 . 1 COALESCE 12 . $8.3 . 4 AMIANAN 11 . $9.1 . 3 ZILZIE 5 . $20.0 . 12 RAHEIGHTS 5 . $20.0 . 7 AUSBRED KING ----- 3 . $33.3 . 9 PITA HAPA 2 . $50.0 . 5 RED ROBERT 1 . $100.0 . 11 PRINCE OF MIDNIGHT C/W RT: 1 COALESCE ( 1-2-4-3 ) FRM RT: 2 MOLOTOV * ( 2-1-12-3 ) COMMENT: 2 MOLOTOV looks good here. Has top form for this. 1 COALESCE the danger. The best value runner could be 12 RAHEIGHTS. MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,12 ) OR ( 1,2,3,4 – 1,2,3,4,7,12 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,3,4,5,7,9,11,12 ) ROSE R2 (THE SCHWEPPERVESCENCE) RT . ODDS . HORSE 43 . $2.3 . 11 BIG JOKER 21 . $4.8 . 4 NEW EDGE 12 . $8.3 . 2 MUSTARD 10 . $10.0 . 6 DOUBLE DARE 10 . $10.0 . 5 KING REX ----- 2 . $50.0 . 1 CATECLIPSE 2 . $50.0 . 7 SUNSET RUN 1 . $100.0 . 3 UBER C/W RT: 11 BIG JOKER ( 11-4-5-2 ) FRM RT: 11 BIG JOKER * ( 11-6-4-2 ) COMMENT: 11 BIG JOKER is the obvious top pick here. In top form and Beadman on. 6 DOUBLE DARE could be good value. The top 5 raters look the ones. MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,11 ) OR ( 11 – field ) ROSE R3 (TULLOCH STKS) RT . ODDS . HORSE 25 . $4.0 . 4 RAHEEB 18 . $5.6 . 2 TIPUNGWUTI 15 . $6.7 . 5 VIEWED 15 . $6.7 . 1 DANEVER 8 . $12.5 . 10 RED LORD 8 . $12.5 . 11 MUSAYTIR 6 . $16.7 . 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE ----- 2 . $50.0 . 8 RULING POWER 1 . $100.0 . 13 PACINO 1 . $100.0 . 12 KING OF THE NILE 1 . $100.0 . 3 TURBAN 1 . $100.0 . 9 TURFISTE C/W RT: 2 TIPUNGWUTI / 4 RAHEEB ( 2/4-1-11 ) FRM RT: 5 VIEWED ( 5-10-4-7 ) COMMENT: 5 VIEWED represents good value here in a very open race. 4 RAHEEB the obvious danger and 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE is a good outside hope. MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,5,10 ) OR ( 1,2,4,5 - 1,2,4,5,10,11 ) OR ( 2,4,5 – 1,2,4,5,7,10,11 ) Last edited by Sportz : 31st March 2007 at 10:41 AM. |
#174
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![]() ROSE R5 (THE BMW)
RT . ODDS . HORSE 28 . $3.6 . 1 DESERT WAR 24 . $4.2 . 2 RAILINGS 13 . $7.7 . 14 GORKY PARK 8 . $12.5 . 12 SAFWA 6 . $16.7 . 9 BLUTIGEROO 6 . $16.7 . 6 CONFECTIONER ----- 4 . $25.0 . 8 PENTANE 4 . $25.0 . 5 CASUAL PASS 3 . $33.3 . 10 SOULACROIX 2 . $50.0 . 4 GRAND ZULU 2 . $50.0 . 13 TERANABA 1 . $100.0 . 11 DESERT MASTER C/W RT: 1 DESERT WAR ( 1-2-14-6 ) FRM RT: 2 RAILINGS ( 2-14-12-1 ) COMMENT: 1 DESERT WAR and 2 RAILINGS are the top picks here. However, 14 GORKY PARK and 12 SAFWA could both prove to be good each way value. MULTIS: ( 1,2,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2,12,14 – 1,2,6,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,5,6,8,9,12,14 ) ROSE R7 (GOLDEN SLIPPER STKS) RT . ODDS . HORSE 23 . $4.3 . 1 MURTAJILL 17 . $5.9 . 3 SHAFT 11 . $9.1 . 9 PRESS THE BUTTON 11 . $9.1 . 12 SLEEK CHASSIS 9 . $11.1 . 2 MEURICE 7 . $14.3 . 5 ZIZOU 7 . $14.3 . 13 HURRIED CHOICE ----- 6 . $16.7 . 16 FORENSICS 6 . $16.7 . 11 CHINCHILLA ROSE 2 . $50.0 . 10 DOWNHILL RACER 1 . $100.0 . 4 DEFERENTIAL 1 . $100.0 . 14 ROSE CEREMONY C/W RT: 3 SHAFT ( 3-1-9-2 ) FRM RT: 1 MURTAJILL ( 1-13-5-3 ) COMMENT: Very open race with many chances. No firm opinion, but if 1 MURTAJILL and 12 SLEEK CHASSIS get out to good odds due to the wide barriers, they could be the ones to back. I also think 5 ZIZOU could represent a good value bet. MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,9,12 ) OR ( 1,3,9,12 – 1,2,3,5,9,12,13 ) OR ( 1,3 – 1,2,3,5,9,11,12,13,16 ) ROSE R8 (QUEEN OF THE TURF STKS) RT . ODDS . HORSE 29 . $3.4 . 2 DIVINE MADONNA 18 . $5.6 . 4 DOUBTING 15 . $6.7 . 13 ANAMATO 12 . $8.3 . 14 CHEEKY CHOICE 6 . $16.7 . 8 STORM ALERT 5 . $20.0 . 15 ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS 5 . $20.0 . 5 REGAL CHEER ----- 3 . $33.3 . 1 REWAAYA 2 . $50.0 . 3 FASHIONS AFIELD 2 . $50.0 . 12 SHIRL PEGASUS 2 . $50.0 . 7 BEAUTY WATCH 1 . $100.0 . 10 KOSI BAY 1 . $100.0 . 16 AMORY LANE C/W RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-4-13-15 ) FRM RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-14-4-13 ) COMMENT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA and 4 DOUBTING are the top picks here. I also feel that 14 CHEEKY CHOICE and 13 ANAMATO could both represent good each way value. Work mainly around those four. MULTIS: ( 2,4,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4,13,14 – 2,4,5,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,3,4,5,8,13,14,15 ) ROSE R9 (ROYAL PARMA STKS) RT . ODDS . HORSE 37 . $2.7 . 2 SWICK 17 . $5.9 . 6 FLAMING 15 . $6.7 . 8 MYSTERY CITY 12 . $8.3 . 11 MR UBIQUITOUS 6 . $16.7 . 7 HASSLE 4 . $25.0 . 10 SPURUSON ----- 3 . $33.3 . 13 ACCUMULATE 3 . $33.3 . 5 PHILOSOPHE 2 . $50.0 . 9 DIAMOND SUN 1 . $100.0 . 12 A COUNTRY GIRL C/W RT: 2 SWICK ( 2-6-8-11 ) FRM RT: 2 SWICK * ( 2-11-7-10 ) COMMENT: 2 SWICK is the clear top pick here. May end up being too short though. 11 MR UBIQUITOUS could be the better value. MULTIS: ( 2,6,7,8,11 ) OR ( 2,6,8,11 – 2,6,7,8,10,11 ) OR ( 2,6 – 2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,13 ) |
#175
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![]() DOOM R5
RT . ODDS . HORSE 19 . $5.3 . 7 CHEVRON ISLAND 17 . $5.9 . 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE 11 . $9.1 . 16 DIGGING DEEP 11 . $9.1 . 5 SAMMYS ILLUSION 9 . $11.1 . 4 SOCIALIST 9 . $11.1 . 8 SIR SUCCESS ----- 8 . $12.5 . 2 ELEGANT ROI 8 . $12.5 . 15 DAWN'S PRIDE 7 . $14.3 . 1 MR HORNBLOWER 1 . $100.0 . 14 DANCE HUNTER C/W RT: 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE ( 6-5-2-8 ) FRM RT: 7 CHEVRON ISLAND COMMENT: The ratings suggest this is a wide open race. I personally like the chances of 7 CHEVRON ISLAND and 16 DIGGING DEEP. I think they'll both represent value. MULTIS: ( 4,5,6,7,16 ) OR ( 5,6,7,16 – 4,5,6,7,8,16 ) OR ( 6,7 – 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,15,16 ) DOOM R6 RT . ODDS . HORSE 36 . $2.8 . 2 TROPIQUALO 28 . $3.6 . 3 FOREVER AMEN 19 . $5.3 . 1 SAN FRANFRISCO 6 . $16.7 . 5 LION SAFARI 5 . $20.0 . 6 ALIFLY 3 . $33.3 . 10 ORRONG ----- 1 . $100.0 . 4 QUALO 1 . $100.0 . 11 SLICK OPERATOR 1 . $100.0 . 7 BUTTOUT C/W RT: 2 TROPIQUALO ( 2-1-3-6 ) FRM RT: 3 FOREVER AMEN ( 3-2-1-5 ) COMMENT: Not really keen, but 2 TROPIQUALO and 3 FOREVER AMEN look the best of a bad lot. MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,6 ) OR ( 1,2,3 – 1,2,3,5,6,10 ) DOOM R7 RT . ODDS . HORSE 40 . $2.5 . 1 TELLEM 23 . $4.3 . 13 NOBLE GAZE 11 . $9.1 . 3 WARRIOR TRADER 8 . $12.5 . 4 BIRTHDAY BASH 7 . $14.3 . 2 DAMIGOS 4 . $25.0 . 7 VOCALIC 4 . $25.0 . 10 BLOOD 'N' BONE ----- 1 . $100.0 . 8 PROUDLY AGRO 1 . $100.0 . 11 SONG TIME 1 . $100.0 . 12 CENTENN 1 . $100.0 . 6 BOHEMIAN DANCER C/W RT: 1 TELLEM ( 1-13-3-4 ) FRM RT: 1 TELLEM * ( 1-13-3-4 ) COMMENT: 1 TELLEM is clearly the top pick here. In great form. 13 NOBLE GAZE looks like a good value bet. Keen on these two. MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,13 ) OR ( 1,3,13 – 1,2,3,4,7,10,13 ) |
#176
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![]() M.VAL R6
RT . ODDS . HORSE 45 . $2.2 . 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW 15 . $6.7 . 6 ORANGE COUNTY 15 . $6.7 . 5 THE LANZ 7 . $14.3 . 4 ROADHOG 4 . $25.0 . 2 VOLITANT 4 . $25.0 . 10 ISANAMI ----- 3 . $33.3 . 8 JUGGLE THE BOOKS 3 . $33.3 . 13 PINIONS 2 . $50.0 . 3 COOL TRENT 2 . $50.0 . 7 HIGH COSTALANA 1 . $100.0 . 11 ISLE OF MAJORCA C/W RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-6-5-4 ) FRM RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-5-6-4 ) COMMENT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW is the top pick here. But I feel that 6 ORANGE COUNTY could prove to be good value. 5 THE LANZ also an each way chance. MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,14 ) OR ( 5,6,14 – 2,4,5,6,10,14 ) OR ( 6,14 – 2,4,5,6,8,10,13,14 ) M.VAL R7 RT . ODDS . HORSE 27 . $3.7 . 7 FEARLESS WATERS 26 . $3.8 . 11 STAR ROSE 12 . $8.3 . 5 WILDLIFE GIRL 12 . $8.3 . 9 AL ANOOD 11 . $9.1 . 3 PINSEMTOIT 8 . $12.5 . 10 DANASIERRA ----- 3 . $33.3 . 14 MISS RUBITON 1 . $100.0 . 1 RED FOR LOU C/W RT: 11 STAR ROSE ( 11-7-3-5 ) FRM RT: 7 FEARLESS WATERS ( 1-10-11-5 ) COMMENT: All of the top 6 raters have a chance here. 7 FEARLESS WATERS the top pick, but 5 WILDLIFE GIRL and 11 STAR ROSE could turn out to be good each way value. MULTIS: ( 5,7,9,11 – 3,5,7,9,10,11 ) OR ( 3,5,7,9,10,11 ) M.VAL R8 RT . ODDS . HORSE 29 . $3.4 . 7 BIANOMOUR 26 . $3.8 . 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE 19 . $5.3 . 1 SARRERA 16 . $6.3 . 12 HI ON LOVE 5 . $20.0 . 5 WINTROW 4 . $25.0 . 3 LIFE'S A BOUNTY ----- 1 . $100.0 . 2 SHORT PAUSE 1 . $100.0 . 10 DOLPHIN JO C/W RT: 7 BIANOMOUR ( 7-8-1-12 ) FRM RT: 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE ( 8-12-1-7 ) COMMENT: An even race between the top 4 raters. Look for value. 1 SARRERA and 7 BIANOMOUR possibly the best value. MULTIS: ( 1,7,8,12 – 1,3,5,7,8,12 ) OR ( 1,5,7,8,12 ) |
#177
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![]() MORP R4
RT . ODDS . HORSE 30 . $3.3 . 4 IVORTOV 20 . $5.0 . 11 VICELLO 15 . $6.7 . 1 JEUNE'S REIGN 13 . $7.7 . 2 TORA TORA TORA 12 . $8.3 . 3 ZYLVESTER 6 . $16.7 . 9 TALANTO ----- 3 . $33.3 . 12 AKRIS 1 . $100.0 . 6 LIGHTNING LILLY 1 . $100.0 . 5 CLEARVIEW BAY C/W RT: 11 VICELLO ( 11-2-1-4 ) FRM RT: 4 IVORTOV * ( 4-3-1-11 ) COMMENT: 4 IVORTOV is the top pick here. Each way value in 11 VICELLO. Concentrate on the top 5 raters. MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,11 ) OR ( 1,4,11 – 1,2,3,4,9,11 ) MORP R6 (AURARIA STKS) RT . ODDS . HORSE 33 . $3.0 . 2 DEVIL MOON 26 . $3.8 . 9 ANNA JOY 16 . $6.3 . 1 DE LAGO MIST 11 . $9.1 . 6 ZEDAZEST 4 . $25.0 . 12 ADEQUATE 3 . $33.3 . 11 NISHA ----- 2 . $50.0 . 4 CLASSIC TRUCE 1 . $100.0 . 8 TAHNEE TANGO 1 . $100.0 . 13 CUBAN GIRL 1 . $100.0 . 15 CASUAL KISS 1 . $100.0 . 16 OLNISTTO C/W RT: 2 DEVIL MOON ( 2-9-6-1 ) FRM RT: 9 ANNA JOY ( 9-2-1-12 ) COMMENT: Look for value amongst the top 3 raters here. They should hold the key to the race.I Like 9 ANNA JOY just ahead of the other 2. MULTIS: ( 1,2,6,9,12 ) OR ( 1,2,9 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) MORP R7 (CLIPSAL ELECTRICAL CLASSIC) RT . ODDS . HORSE 37 . $2.7 . 2 FLYING OBJECT 22 . $4.5 . 4 BOLD LINE 17 . $5.9 . 6 SORENSTAM 12 . $8.3 . 1 AMYJAYE POWER 3 . $33.3 . 11 TERANGO 3 . $33.3 . 12 AMICI FOREVER ----- 2 . $50.0 . 9 WILD HERO 2 . $50.0 . 14 SEBRLE 1 . $100.0 . 3 AERATED 1 . $100.0 . 10 AKHATON C/W RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT ( 2-4-6-1 ) FRM RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT * ( 2-6-4-1 ) COMMENT: 2 FLYING OBJECT is the clear top pick here. In top form. 6 SORENSTAM and 1 AMYJAYE POWER could be worth an each way bet. MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12,14 ) Last edited by Sportz : 31st March 2007 at 01:32 PM. |
#178
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![]() ASCOT R6 (STRICKLAND STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE 39 . $2.6 . 10 KEYTON GRACE 25 . $4.0 . 4 BELARUS 16 . $6.3 . 1 BLACK TOM 13 . $7.7 . 7 FOREST FROLIC 3 . $33.3 . 6 STORMBLITZ ----- 1 . $100.0 . 2 SCENIC ASSAULT 1 . $100.0 . 9 BEHN SCENIC 1 . $100.0 . 8 MAFEKING 1 . $100.0 . 5 CAT IN A HAT C/W RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE ( 10-4-1-7 ) FRM RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE * ( 10-4-7-1 ) COMMENT: 10 KEYTON GRACE is the top pick here. 5 BELARUS the danger. 7 FOREST FROLIC could be good value. MULTIS: ( 1,4,6,7,10 ) ASCOT R7 (WA DERBY) RT . ODDS . HORSE 29 . $3.4 . 2 NEW SPICE 23 . $4.3 . 12 WESTERLY BREEZE 18 . $5.6 . 3 GUYNO 13 . $7.7 . 14 DANTE'S DASH 7 . $14.3 . 1 MANSION HOUSE 7 . $14.3 . 7 BALLACK ----- 2 . $50.0 . 13 METRO MISS 1 . $100.0 . 9 DVORYAN C/W RT: 2 NEW SPICE ( 2-12-3-1 ) FRM RT: 14 DANTE'S DASH ( 14-3-2-7 ) COMMENT: 2 NEW SPICE is the top pick here. In top form for this. 2 horses which could represent each way value are 14 DANTE'S DASH and 7 BALLACK. MULTIS: ( 2,3,12,14 – 1,2,3,7,12,14 ) ASCOT R8 (KARRAKATTA PLATE) RT . ODDS . HORSE 52 . $1.9 . 5 JESTATUNE 14 . $7.1 . 3 SCENIC BLAST 14 . $7.1 . 7 CHINAMORA 6 . $16.7 . 9 ARMANJENA 5 . $20.0 . 6 SECRET VAULT 4 . $25.0 . 1 MIGHTY MAK ----- 3 . $33.3 . 10 BALEEN MAGIC 2 . $50.0 . 4 ROMAN TIME C/W RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-3-7-9 ) FRM RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-7-3-1 ) COMMENT: 5 JESTATUNE looks close to a good thing here, but the price will probably reflect that. 3 SCENIC BLAST and 7 CHINAMORA could be good each way value. MULTIS: ( 3,5,7 – 1,3,5,6,7,9 ) OR ( 3,5 – 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,10 ) OR ( 5 – field ) |
#179
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![]() As per usual, Brisbane is proving to be tough.
![]() Hope perhaps someone had the trifecta and/or first4 in the BMW. Nice dividend. No good in the Slipper, but I did have the top 4 all rated under $20. So the result wasn't a total shock. |
#180
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