Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #171  
Old 28th March 2007, 04:03 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

Don't think I'll be posting the so called "value" selections any more. They're proving to be no value at all at the moment, because they've fallen in a complete hole!!! I think they're actually still showing a profit since I started posting them, but even so, they're not proving worthwhile at the moment.

All I was trying to do with this was pick out one of the top rated runners which I thought would end up being a good value each-way bet. But in many cases, by the time the race comes, it isn't any value, or one of the other top raters simply ends up being a better bet. And it was proving to be difficult in some races to choose the best value bet. For example, in R7 in Sydney today, I tossed up between Sir Interdane and Fancyfree as the "value" bet and look what happened.

In future, I WILL probably post some betting suggestions for each race, but I won't pick out just one "value" selection.
Reply With Quote
  #172  
Old 28th March 2007, 04:36 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

As opposed to the value selections however, the multi selections have gone really well today!
Reply With Quote
  #173  
Old 31st March 2007, 10:27 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

ROSE R1 (NEVILLE SELLWOOD STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
33 . $3.0 . 2 MOLOTOV
28 . $3.6 . 1 COALESCE
12 . $8.3 . 4 AMIANAN
11 . $9.1 . 3 ZILZIE
5 . $20.0 . 12 RAHEIGHTS
5 . $20.0 . 7 AUSBRED KING
-----
3 . $33.3 . 9 PITA HAPA
2 . $50.0 . 5 RED ROBERT
1 . $100.0 . 11 PRINCE OF MIDNIGHT

C/W RT: 1 COALESCE ( 1-2-4-3 )
FRM RT: 2 MOLOTOV * ( 2-1-12-3 )

COMMENT: 2 MOLOTOV looks good here. Has top form for this. 1 COALESCE the danger. The best value runner could be 12 RAHEIGHTS.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,12 ) OR ( 1,2,3,4 – 1,2,3,4,7,12 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,3,4,5,7,9,11,12 )



ROSE R2 (THE SCHWEPPERVESCENCE)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
43 . $2.3 . 11 BIG JOKER
21 . $4.8 . 4 NEW EDGE
12 . $8.3 . 2 MUSTARD
10 . $10.0 . 6 DOUBLE DARE
10 . $10.0 . 5 KING REX
-----
2 . $50.0 . 1 CATECLIPSE
2 . $50.0 . 7 SUNSET RUN
1 . $100.0 . 3 UBER

C/W RT: 11 BIG JOKER ( 11-4-5-2 )
FRM RT: 11 BIG JOKER * ( 11-6-4-2 )

COMMENT: 11 BIG JOKER is the obvious top pick here. In top form and Beadman on. 6 DOUBLE DARE could be good value. The top 5 raters look the ones.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,11 ) OR ( 11 – field )



ROSE R3 (TULLOCH STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
25 . $4.0 . 4 RAHEEB
18 . $5.6 . 2 TIPUNGWUTI
15 . $6.7 . 5 VIEWED
15 . $6.7 . 1 DANEVER
8 . $12.5 . 10 RED LORD
8 . $12.5 . 11 MUSAYTIR
6 . $16.7 . 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE
-----
2 . $50.0 . 8 RULING POWER
1 . $100.0 . 13 PACINO
1 . $100.0 . 12 KING OF THE NILE
1 . $100.0 . 3 TURBAN
1 . $100.0 . 9 TURFISTE

C/W RT: 2 TIPUNGWUTI / 4 RAHEEB ( 2/4-1-11 )
FRM RT: 5 VIEWED ( 5-10-4-7 )

COMMENT: 5 VIEWED represents good value here in a very open race. 4 RAHEEB the obvious danger and 7 CARNEGIE HOUSE is a good outside hope.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,5,10 ) OR ( 1,2,4,5 - 1,2,4,5,10,11 ) OR ( 2,4,5 – 1,2,4,5,7,10,11 )

Last edited by Sportz : 31st March 2007 at 10:41 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #174  
Old 31st March 2007, 11:27 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

ROSE R5 (THE BMW)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
28 . $3.6 . 1 DESERT WAR
24 . $4.2 . 2 RAILINGS
13 . $7.7 . 14 GORKY PARK
8 . $12.5 . 12 SAFWA
6 . $16.7 . 9 BLUTIGEROO
6 . $16.7 . 6 CONFECTIONER
-----
4 . $25.0 . 8 PENTANE
4 . $25.0 . 5 CASUAL PASS
3 . $33.3 . 10 SOULACROIX
2 . $50.0 . 4 GRAND ZULU
2 . $50.0 . 13 TERANABA
1 . $100.0 . 11 DESERT MASTER

C/W RT: 1 DESERT WAR ( 1-2-14-6 )
FRM RT: 2 RAILINGS ( 2-14-12-1 )

COMMENT: 1 DESERT WAR and 2 RAILINGS are the top picks here. However, 14 GORKY PARK and 12 SAFWA could both prove to be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2,12,14 – 1,2,6,9,12,14 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,5,6,8,9,12,14 )



ROSE R7 (GOLDEN SLIPPER STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
23 . $4.3 . 1 MURTAJILL
17 . $5.9 . 3 SHAFT
11 . $9.1 . 9 PRESS THE BUTTON
11 . $9.1 . 12 SLEEK CHASSIS
9 . $11.1 . 2 MEURICE
7 . $14.3 . 5 ZIZOU
7 . $14.3 . 13 HURRIED CHOICE
-----
6 . $16.7 . 16 FORENSICS
6 . $16.7 . 11 CHINCHILLA ROSE
2 . $50.0 . 10 DOWNHILL RACER
1 . $100.0 . 4 DEFERENTIAL
1 . $100.0 . 14 ROSE CEREMONY

C/W RT: 3 SHAFT ( 3-1-9-2 )
FRM RT: 1 MURTAJILL ( 1-13-5-3 )

COMMENT: Very open race with many chances. No firm opinion, but if 1 MURTAJILL and 12 SLEEK CHASSIS get out to good odds due to the wide barriers, they could be the ones to back. I also think 5 ZIZOU could represent a good value bet.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,9,12 ) OR ( 1,3,9,12 – 1,2,3,5,9,12,13 ) OR ( 1,3 – 1,2,3,5,9,11,12,13,16 )



ROSE R8 (QUEEN OF THE TURF STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 2 DIVINE MADONNA
18 . $5.6 . 4 DOUBTING
15 . $6.7 . 13 ANAMATO
12 . $8.3 . 14 CHEEKY CHOICE
6 . $16.7 . 8 STORM ALERT
5 . $20.0 . 15 ABSOLUTELYFABULOUS
5 . $20.0 . 5 REGAL CHEER
-----
3 . $33.3 . 1 REWAAYA
2 . $50.0 . 3 FASHIONS AFIELD
2 . $50.0 . 12 SHIRL PEGASUS
2 . $50.0 . 7 BEAUTY WATCH
1 . $100.0 . 10 KOSI BAY
1 . $100.0 . 16 AMORY LANE

C/W RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-4-13-15 )
FRM RT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA ( 2-14-4-13 )

COMMENT: 2 DIVINE MADONNA and 4 DOUBTING are the top picks here. I also feel that 14 CHEEKY CHOICE and 13 ANAMATO could both represent good each way value. Work mainly around those four.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4,13,14 – 2,4,5,8,13,14,15 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,3,4,5,8,13,14,15 )



ROSE R9 (ROYAL PARMA STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
37 . $2.7 . 2 SWICK
17 . $5.9 . 6 FLAMING
15 . $6.7 . 8 MYSTERY CITY
12 . $8.3 . 11 MR UBIQUITOUS
6 . $16.7 . 7 HASSLE
4 . $25.0 . 10 SPURUSON
-----
3 . $33.3 . 13 ACCUMULATE
3 . $33.3 . 5 PHILOSOPHE
2 . $50.0 . 9 DIAMOND SUN
1 . $100.0 . 12 A COUNTRY GIRL

C/W RT: 2 SWICK ( 2-6-8-11 )
FRM RT: 2 SWICK * ( 2-11-7-10 )

COMMENT: 2 SWICK is the clear top pick here. May end up being too short though. 11 MR UBIQUITOUS could be the better value.

MULTIS: ( 2,6,7,8,11 ) OR ( 2,6,8,11 – 2,6,7,8,10,11 ) OR ( 2,6 – 2,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,13 )
Reply With Quote
  #175  
Old 31st March 2007, 12:05 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

DOOM R5
RT . ODDS . HORSE
19 . $5.3 . 7 CHEVRON ISLAND
17 . $5.9 . 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE
11 . $9.1 . 16 DIGGING DEEP
11 . $9.1 . 5 SAMMYS ILLUSION
9 . $11.1 . 4 SOCIALIST
9 . $11.1 . 8 SIR SUCCESS
-----
8 . $12.5 . 2 ELEGANT ROI
8 . $12.5 . 15 DAWN'S PRIDE
7 . $14.3 . 1 MR HORNBLOWER
1 . $100.0 . 14 DANCE HUNTER

C/W RT: 6 PRIMAL IMPULSE ( 6-5-2-8 )
FRM RT: 7 CHEVRON ISLAND

COMMENT: The ratings suggest this is a wide open race. I personally like the chances of 7 CHEVRON ISLAND and 16 DIGGING DEEP. I think they'll both represent value.

MULTIS: ( 4,5,6,7,16 ) OR ( 5,6,7,16 – 4,5,6,7,8,16 ) OR ( 6,7 – 1,2,4,5,6,7,8,15,16 )



DOOM R6
RT . ODDS . HORSE
36 . $2.8 . 2 TROPIQUALO
28 . $3.6 . 3 FOREVER AMEN
19 . $5.3 . 1 SAN FRANFRISCO
6 . $16.7 . 5 LION SAFARI
5 . $20.0 . 6 ALIFLY
3 . $33.3 . 10 ORRONG
-----
1 . $100.0 . 4 QUALO
1 . $100.0 . 11 SLICK OPERATOR
1 . $100.0 . 7 BUTTOUT

C/W RT: 2 TROPIQUALO ( 2-1-3-6 )
FRM RT: 3 FOREVER AMEN ( 3-2-1-5 )

COMMENT: Not really keen, but 2 TROPIQUALO and 3 FOREVER AMEN look the best of a bad lot.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,5,6 ) OR ( 1,2,3 – 1,2,3,5,6,10 )



DOOM R7
RT . ODDS . HORSE
40 . $2.5 . 1 TELLEM
23 . $4.3 . 13 NOBLE GAZE
11 . $9.1 . 3 WARRIOR TRADER
8 . $12.5 . 4 BIRTHDAY BASH
7 . $14.3 . 2 DAMIGOS
4 . $25.0 . 7 VOCALIC
4 . $25.0 . 10 BLOOD 'N' BONE
-----
1 . $100.0 . 8 PROUDLY AGRO
1 . $100.0 . 11 SONG TIME
1 . $100.0 . 12 CENTENN
1 . $100.0 . 6 BOHEMIAN DANCER

C/W RT: 1 TELLEM ( 1-13-3-4 )
FRM RT: 1 TELLEM * ( 1-13-3-4 )

COMMENT: 1 TELLEM is clearly the top pick here. In great form. 13 NOBLE GAZE looks like a good value bet. Keen on these two.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,13 ) OR ( 1,3,13 – 1,2,3,4,7,10,13 )
Reply With Quote
  #176  
Old 31st March 2007, 01:09 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

M.VAL R6
RT . ODDS . HORSE
45 . $2.2 . 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW
15 . $6.7 . 6 ORANGE COUNTY
15 . $6.7 . 5 THE LANZ
7 . $14.3 . 4 ROADHOG
4 . $25.0 . 2 VOLITANT
4 . $25.0 . 10 ISANAMI
-----
3 . $33.3 . 8 JUGGLE THE BOOKS
3 . $33.3 . 13 PINIONS
2 . $50.0 . 3 COOL TRENT
2 . $50.0 . 7 HIGH COSTALANA
1 . $100.0 . 11 ISLE OF MAJORCA

C/W RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-6-5-4 )
FRM RT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW * ( 14-5-6-4 )

COMMENT: 14 NEDIYM'S GLOW is the top pick here. But I feel that 6 ORANGE COUNTY could prove to be good value. 5 THE LANZ also an each way chance.

MULTIS: ( 2,4,5,6,14 ) OR ( 5,6,14 – 2,4,5,6,10,14 ) OR ( 6,14 – 2,4,5,6,8,10,13,14 )



M.VAL R7
RT . ODDS . HORSE
27 . $3.7 . 7 FEARLESS WATERS
26 . $3.8 . 11 STAR ROSE
12 . $8.3 . 5 WILDLIFE GIRL
12 . $8.3 . 9 AL ANOOD
11 . $9.1 . 3 PINSEMTOIT
8 . $12.5 . 10 DANASIERRA
-----
3 . $33.3 . 14 MISS RUBITON
1 . $100.0 . 1 RED FOR LOU

C/W RT: 11 STAR ROSE ( 11-7-3-5 )
FRM RT: 7 FEARLESS WATERS ( 1-10-11-5 )

COMMENT: All of the top 6 raters have a chance here. 7 FEARLESS WATERS the top pick, but 5 WILDLIFE GIRL and 11 STAR ROSE could turn out to be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 5,7,9,11 – 3,5,7,9,10,11 ) OR ( 3,5,7,9,10,11 )



M.VAL R8
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 7 BIANOMOUR
26 . $3.8 . 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE
19 . $5.3 . 1 SARRERA
16 . $6.3 . 12 HI ON LOVE
5 . $20.0 . 5 WINTROW
4 . $25.0 . 3 LIFE'S A BOUNTY
-----
1 . $100.0 . 2 SHORT PAUSE
1 . $100.0 . 10 DOLPHIN JO

C/W RT: 7 BIANOMOUR ( 7-8-1-12 )
FRM RT: 8 PURPLE CHOCOLATE ( 8-12-1-7 )

COMMENT: An even race between the top 4 raters. Look for value. 1 SARRERA and 7 BIANOMOUR possibly the best value.

MULTIS: ( 1,7,8,12 – 1,3,5,7,8,12 ) OR ( 1,5,7,8,12 )
Reply With Quote
  #177  
Old 31st March 2007, 01:27 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

MORP R4
RT . ODDS . HORSE
30 . $3.3 . 4 IVORTOV
20 . $5.0 . 11 VICELLO
15 . $6.7 . 1 JEUNE'S REIGN
13 . $7.7 . 2 TORA TORA TORA
12 . $8.3 . 3 ZYLVESTER
6 . $16.7 . 9 TALANTO
-----
3 . $33.3 . 12 AKRIS
1 . $100.0 . 6 LIGHTNING LILLY
1 . $100.0 . 5 CLEARVIEW BAY

C/W RT: 11 VICELLO ( 11-2-1-4 )
FRM RT: 4 IVORTOV * ( 4-3-1-11 )

COMMENT: 4 IVORTOV is the top pick here. Each way value in 11 VICELLO. Concentrate on the top 5 raters.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,4,11 ) OR ( 1,4,11 – 1,2,3,4,9,11 )



MORP R6 (AURARIA STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
33 . $3.0 . 2 DEVIL MOON
26 . $3.8 . 9 ANNA JOY
16 . $6.3 . 1 DE LAGO MIST
11 . $9.1 . 6 ZEDAZEST
4 . $25.0 . 12 ADEQUATE
3 . $33.3 . 11 NISHA
-----
2 . $50.0 . 4 CLASSIC TRUCE
1 . $100.0 . 8 TAHNEE TANGO
1 . $100.0 . 13 CUBAN GIRL
1 . $100.0 . 15 CASUAL KISS
1 . $100.0 . 16 OLNISTTO

C/W RT: 2 DEVIL MOON ( 2-9-6-1 )
FRM RT: 9 ANNA JOY ( 9-2-1-12 )

COMMENT: Look for value amongst the top 3 raters here. They should hold the key to the race.I Like 9 ANNA JOY just ahead of the other 2.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,6,9,12 ) OR ( 1,2,9 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 )



MORP R7 (CLIPSAL ELECTRICAL CLASSIC)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
37 . $2.7 . 2 FLYING OBJECT
22 . $4.5 . 4 BOLD LINE
17 . $5.9 . 6 SORENSTAM
12 . $8.3 . 1 AMYJAYE POWER
3 . $33.3 . 11 TERANGO
3 . $33.3 . 12 AMICI FOREVER
-----
2 . $50.0 . 9 WILD HERO
2 . $50.0 . 14 SEBRLE
1 . $100.0 . 3 AERATED
1 . $100.0 . 10 AKHATON

C/W RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT ( 2-4-6-1 )
FRM RT: 2 FLYING OBJECT * ( 2-6-4-1 )

COMMENT: 2 FLYING OBJECT is the clear top pick here. In top form. 6 SORENSTAM and 1 AMYJAYE POWER could be worth an each way bet.

MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12,14 )

Last edited by Sportz : 31st March 2007 at 01:32 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #178  
Old 31st March 2007, 01:54 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

ASCOT R6 (STRICKLAND STKS)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
39 . $2.6 . 10 KEYTON GRACE
25 . $4.0 . 4 BELARUS
16 . $6.3 . 1 BLACK TOM
13 . $7.7 . 7 FOREST FROLIC
3 . $33.3 . 6 STORMBLITZ
-----
1 . $100.0 . 2 SCENIC ASSAULT
1 . $100.0 . 9 BEHN SCENIC
1 . $100.0 . 8 MAFEKING
1 . $100.0 . 5 CAT IN A HAT

C/W RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE ( 10-4-1-7 )
FRM RT: 10 KEYTON GRACE * ( 10-4-7-1 )

COMMENT: 10 KEYTON GRACE is the top pick here. 5 BELARUS the danger. 7 FOREST FROLIC could be good value.

MULTIS: ( 1,4,6,7,10 )



ASCOT R7 (WA DERBY)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
29 . $3.4 . 2 NEW SPICE
23 . $4.3 . 12 WESTERLY BREEZE
18 . $5.6 . 3 GUYNO
13 . $7.7 . 14 DANTE'S DASH
7 . $14.3 . 1 MANSION HOUSE
7 . $14.3 . 7 BALLACK
-----
2 . $50.0 . 13 METRO MISS
1 . $100.0 . 9 DVORYAN

C/W RT: 2 NEW SPICE ( 2-12-3-1 )
FRM RT: 14 DANTE'S DASH ( 14-3-2-7 )

COMMENT: 2 NEW SPICE is the top pick here. In top form for this. 2 horses which could represent each way value are 14 DANTE'S DASH and 7 BALLACK.

MULTIS: ( 2,3,12,14 – 1,2,3,7,12,14 )



ASCOT R8 (KARRAKATTA PLATE)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
52 . $1.9 . 5 JESTATUNE
14 . $7.1 . 3 SCENIC BLAST
14 . $7.1 . 7 CHINAMORA
6 . $16.7 . 9 ARMANJENA
5 . $20.0 . 6 SECRET VAULT
4 . $25.0 . 1 MIGHTY MAK
-----
3 . $33.3 . 10 BALEEN MAGIC
2 . $50.0 . 4 ROMAN TIME

C/W RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-3-7-9 )
FRM RT: 5 JESTATUNE * ( 5-7-3-1 )

COMMENT: 5 JESTATUNE looks close to a good thing here, but the price will probably reflect that. 3 SCENIC BLAST and 7 CHINAMORA could be good each way value.

MULTIS: ( 3,5,7 – 1,3,5,6,7,9 ) OR ( 3,5 – 1,3,4,5,6,7,9,10 ) OR ( 5 – field )
Reply With Quote
  #179  
Old 31st March 2007, 03:02 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

As per usual, Brisbane is proving to be tough.

Hope perhaps someone had the trifecta and/or first4 in the BMW. Nice dividend. No good in the Slipper, but I did have the top 4 all rated under $20. So the result wasn't a total shock.
Reply With Quote
  #180  
Old 31st March 2007, 03:58 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,995
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
MORP R7 (CLIPSAL ELECTRICAL CLASSIC)
MULTIS: ( 1,2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4,6 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12 ) OR ( 2,4 – 1,2,4,6,9,11,12,14 )


Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:52 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655