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  #1  
Old 3rd November 2005, 03:56 PM
mecurial mecurial is offline
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Default Australia vs. Uruguay

Less than two weeks out, TABSportsbet has Australia at $2.45 and Uruguay at $1.50. It has been reported that Uruguay's top 2 goalkeepers are both suffering injuries, a key defender is suspended for the first leg, and one of the midfielders is also carrying an injury.

I think that Australia are value at that price, however I have a strong emotional attachment to the cause of World Cup Qualification, and I worry that maybe this is affecting my judgement. I am thinking about putting a fairly large wager on the Socceroos (for my standards anyway), and was hoping that somebody with a more neutral perspective, possibly even somebody who is somewhat of a professional, could post their thoughts.

Thanks
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  #2  
Old 3rd November 2005, 06:59 PM
thefan thefan is offline
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TAB sportsbet has the option with draw

Uruguay $1.60
Draw $3.50
Australia $5

I have been given a tip to back Australia,because of the quality of the coach they have as well as the way they played Jamaica with the quality ball control.
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  #3  
Old 3rd November 2005, 08:30 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Uruguay are very hard to beat at home.

Here is there last few starts at home LWWWLLWWDW
Here are their wins away from home LWDWLDWDDL

Australias home form is WWDDWWWLLW
Australias away form is LLLWLDWDLW

If you compare the Away form of Australia with the Uraguay home form it appears that Australia could find the game hard going.

BUT without a recognised Goalie this is going to give Australia are much better rating.

Uraguays rating on bet devil is 1304 Australias is 1335.

As an objective view point the bet is very good. We take a neutral rating (bet devil) and it shows Australia should be the better team. I believe taking away the top 2 goalies available to Uraguay is going to a tremedous boost to Australia.

Can Australia win ? Well personally no I don't think so, But I do think the most likely outcome now is a draw. I would take a bet on a draw hopefully 1-1 or an Australian win 1-0 or 2-1. You can't take Urugauy as a serious bet as the Goalie is unproven.

I hae no confidence is any advice I give as I don't follow soccer much .. but thought I would post the bet devil ratings for you.

Good Luck.
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  #4  
Old 7th November 2005, 05:15 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by wesmip1
Uraguays rating on bet devil is 1304 Australias is 1335.


Can you explain these ratings, please???
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  #5  
Old 7th November 2005, 08:49 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Default ratings

Sportz,

I just ripped the numbers from the bet devil web site ... as far as how accurate they are and how they are measured I don't know.

I just provided them for mecurial as he wanted some neutral ratings

Take a look at the web site betdevil dot com and you might find your answer.
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  #6  
Old 11th November 2005, 07:08 PM
punta punta is offline
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id be interested in what u ratings are sportz
u seem to be doing pretty well with the epl
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