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  #11  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:14 PM
Ade Ade is offline
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Great system you got mate. I'll plunk $1 on this trifecta you got suggested on MR5 at Ballarat.

How much would that cost me?

Good luck to all that has invested. Good luck with your system real deal.
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  #12  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:19 PM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
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$42 for $1. Favourite backed off the planet.
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  #13  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:22 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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doh...... always next race....... Geez the fav went well. Toyed with them a little bit... went when needed
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  #14  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:24 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Well, it was a very easy trifecta to get, but it paid accordingly.
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  #15  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:29 PM
Ade Ade is offline
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Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by Real Deal
$42 for $1. Favourite backed off the planet.

hmmm even if it won and got up (number 6) I think I would of lost money, as the Dividend on WA TAB paid $18.80.
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  #16  
Old 16th February 2006, 02:40 PM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
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Well we have started off on the wrong foot.

1 selection

-$21.


I am sticking to metro meetings. Stay tuned.
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  #17  
Old 16th February 2006, 03:27 PM
Stix Stix is offline
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Default Expectations

Real

What are your expectaions for the system, based on your past experience?

I guess if you are betting on a "special" or in some instances a "tip", and also considering field-field strategy, then (IMHO) a strike rate of say 25 - 35% would be acceptable.

Surely a strike rate of around 30% would produce a profit... maybe Marcus's analysis will prove this to be true or otherwise.

Anyway, good luck and welcome to the "Cauldron" that is....."posting" on this Forum
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  #18  
Old 17th February 2006, 07:01 AM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
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Stix, With regards to past results and expectations i would say its fair to assume that a 50% strike rate is what i am after, Anything as low 33% may still provide a profit but when i'm selecting minimal horses who i think are the best winning chances over the whole card then i am hoping to hit more often than not.
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  #19  
Old 17th February 2006, 09:04 AM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
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Just 2 today at Flemington.

Race 1 Number 1 Flame of sydney

$20 for $1 unit

Race 2 Number 2 Anais

$20 for $1 unit.

Betting a full unit today due to field sizes.
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  #20  
Old 17th February 2006, 09:19 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Interesting thread, guys --- but I can't see you getting any big returns by backing the favourite with the field in races with only six starters The maths simply don't work out. The fields have to be bigger; or the standout has to be other than the favourite or near favourite.
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