
22nd June 2006, 05:20 PM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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OK Chrome. lets eliminate everything except experience.
My 35 [odd] years of experience as a punter says 'leave wet tracks alone' [and I never back favorites anyway except by mistake as they are always 'unders'].
Faced with any field, horses that have not run on a wet track are 'wet track maidens' and they exist in most races on wet tracks. You have no form to work with. The very reason that handicappers don't back maiden races. They may or may not perform well and the punter has no way of knowing except perhaps 'prediction' from sires wet track ability which is not reliable, but superstition [Tarzan's brother drowned in a bath].
Unknown form is the first reason to bypass a race and there is plenty of it in any race on a wet track.
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