Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 25th October 2006, 07:43 AM
Real Deal Real Deal is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 550
Default

I know jockeys and trainers go into every race wanting to win it, but if your already guaranteed a start in the BIG ONE why would you want to win this? All you do is get a penalty which will hinder your chances of winning the real cup.

I am the biggest On A Jeune fan there is but i believe todays run will purely be a tune up for the first tuesday in november, and have ruled out any chances of him winning today.

I have had a little EW on Vengo. Thought his last start win over 2300m was effortless and the weight in this race would ensure he is round about come the winning post.

PS. Am i even correct that the winner of this race receives a penalty?
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 25th October 2006, 07:58 AM
go4it
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Can't believe nobody has mentioned Kerry O'Reilly.

This horse ran 2nd in the Kelt 3 starts back which IMO is a pretty strong formline for this.Also Pentane won 3 in a row before it's last start failure in an unsuitable race,so I'd forgive it that run.It is drawn out in the carpark but that may see it get out to silly odds.On a Jeune can't be left out either,but as it's already qualified for the MC can't see them worrying wether it wins this just hoping for a good run,a win is a bonus.Think the winner should come from these 3 unless there is a boilover.Going to take a 3x3xfield trifecta withthose and play them in exactas & quins.
Agree with Raw about this race as a pointer for the MC.
IMO the long straight is comparable to the Flemington course,so any horse that can sustain a long finishing run gets it's chance if good enough.

Good luck
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 25th October 2006, 09:35 AM
Dale Dale is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raw Instinct
Not sure about the race not figuring in the Melbourne Cup without Media Puzzle, the year after Media Puzzle the quinella in the race was Zazzman and She's Archie. She's Archie went on to run an extremely unlucky 2nd to Makybe Diva in her first Cup and Zazzman actually didn't run in the cup that year but the following year he run a gallant 3rd to Makybe Diva and Vinnie Roe. Last year On A Jeune ran a monster of a race to win the Geelong Cup then probably should have won the Melbourne Cup had it had average luck so looking at that this is one of the best form races going into that first tuesday in November.


I had forgotten about Zazzman,still without Media Puzzle its only produced place getters,i'm more concerned with winners.

Wasnt there a very long break between Media Puzzle and the last winner to go on to the win the Cup?

Needless to say if something runs extremely well i'll consider backing it,ive got nothing against a trainer taking an easy road to the cup.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 25th October 2006, 10:31 AM
Sahasastar Sahasastar is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 94
Default

Geelong Cup

Diamond Jake (8)
Dracs Back (14)
Pentane (6)
Siamun (16)

Roughy - Exalted Time (10)
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 25th October 2006, 03:40 PM
Horse Whisperer Horse Whisperer is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,381
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raw Instinct
got a bit e/w on Mandela here form reads ok and Craig Williams from a decent draw certainly doesn't hurt it's chances.

also got a Trifecta and Quinella with Vanquished, Defining, Professional Lady, Ista Kareem, Mandela and Irazu


great tip!! u convinced me to have a couple of bucks e/w on it so im happy with the little pickup. you would have cleaned up with the quinella to. good work mate
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 25th October 2006, 03:52 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,994
Default

Deane Lester gave it a big chance on radio this morning, but apart from him, this thread is about the only place I've seen it mentioned.

Good tipping Dale and Raw Instinct.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 25th October 2006, 06:19 PM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
Default

The main reason I liked the horse was in it's only run over 2400m it was beaten 1.3 lengths by Xcellent in the NZ Derby I felt that was good enough form for me and breeding wise he should have been able to stay a bit being by Ebony Grovse throw into that Craig Williams riding from a good gate and he was probably exceptional odds.

I wouldn't rule him out as a light weight chance in the Melbourne Cup now not sure what weight he has but that was pretty impressive the way he let down on the bend today.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 25th October 2006, 08:27 PM
Dale Dale is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
Default

I dindt go as deep into its form as i would have liked but i liked the fact it was an up and coming horse who to me had been sent to Australia for a reason,i had it as my second tip behind Dracs Back,the only thing i'm upset about is missing out on the quinella,i took the chance and risked Vanquished.

As i did in the Caulfield Cup i spent too much on the quinella and only ended up getting 1st and 3rd,i could have won more had i just bet for the win but considering that with a tiny bit of luck i could have snared a huge divedend i'm happy to have sacrificed some pot.

Mandela won quite easily,i'll watch the video again but for now i'm thinking it and Vanquished are a few steps behind the other Cup contenders.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 26th October 2006, 05:37 AM
go4it
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default

well done you guys that backed Mandela,hpoe you won a motza!

Did anyone notice the way Dracs Back & On A Jeune were ridden yesterday?

Both these horses are normally backmarkers,yet both were up on the speed .

I'm not suggesting anything untoward as Dracs was perfectly ridden,just wasn't good enough.

On a jeune(IMO)was just going around for a tune up.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 26th October 2006, 05:43 AM
Raw Instinct Raw Instinct is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
Default

Not sure about that Go4it On A jeune was closer than he has been in any reason he has contested I think maybe they were tyring to see if they can get him to settle closer and try and finish over the top of them, If that was the case then it failed either that or they just weren't trying to win.

Either way Mandela only drops to 50kgs in the cup which although a good weight alot of horses will meet him better for that run yesterday still if he got out to around the $50 mark cup day I wouldn't leave him out
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:41 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655