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  #11  
Old 30th November 2007, 03:37 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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I'm laughing my butt off here with the favs getting up for me & some at unbelievable good prices.

What might be a concern is if the stats are the same year in year out of Favs winning , does that mean there should be a time where we should expect a month where only 5-10% Favs win so that the overall stats hold true.

The only time I have seen anything like this was at Harlod Park trots many years ago where the Favs won 70% of races over a 10 week period & they were realy short priced as one would imagin, but with these UK horses they are still at good prices, beats me how a bookie makes any money unless his turnover is massive & is able to balance the book with punters betting against the Fav.

I was reading that one of the good things about the punters who do bet trading is that they help keep the market percentage close as possible to the 100% mark.

Cheers.
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  #12  
Old 30th November 2007, 09:35 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Chrome

What ideas/explanations have emerged on some of the other forums?
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  #13  
Old 30th November 2007, 12:56 PM
Mark Mark is offline
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Interesting read that Pixie.
Things like this always remind of when a teacher asked the class, "what is the average number of arms or legs that people have". Just about all would go for 2, which of course is wrong. In fact, the vast majority of us have more than the average as far as limbs go.

As for the unusual run of favourites, I would say to Chrome and others, get some sleep and go back in a month to see if it has turned. And the UK bookies, I wouldn't worry about them either, they have had huge margins for years, and if they are not ploughing most of their turnover back through BF at better odds, then more fool them.
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