Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 18th July 2008, 12:21 PM
wallym wallym is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 3
Question

what type of bet do you actually place with so many selections?
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 18th July 2008, 01:39 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A Win bet using level stakes, but only with Betfair because of the superior prices.

As a matter of interest, the Neural Method has now snared the winner of Sun Coast R4 No.12, and also the $230 quinella. I got the winner at $65, however on Betfair S.P. it paid an amazing $130.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 18th July 2008, 04:00 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A losing day - it lost $6.90. Even though it struck 6 of the 7 winners they were unfortunately amongst the fancied horses.

There have now been 239 selections for a POT of 7.9%.


Neural Method,

Today won $39.00.

There have now been 76 selections for an unrealistic POT of 78.90%.


Tomorrow I won't be looking at either system because for the past 2 Saturdays the normal method only broke even, and I've never really been enthused with the neurals for Saturday racing.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 19th July 2008, 08:26 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

I made an expensive error yesterday with the normal system. Muswellbrook R10 was a qualifying race but I missed it. The selections would have been nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8 and 12. No.1 won and paid $16.70 on NSW and $14.70 on Unitab. I don't know what price I would have snared it on Betfair but if it had been $12 or better, then the method would have shown a profit for the day's betting. This will not be included in the results. Its disappointing but at least the system shows promise.

Out of interest, if I was to include Saturday racing in the system then the selections would be:

Rosehill:
Race 4 nos. 1, 3, 4, 7, 8, 10
Race 5 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5,
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7,
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 12

Caulfield:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 9, 10, 11
Race 7 nos. 5, 8, 9, 11, 13, 14, 16
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, 13

Eagle Farm:
Race 7 nos. 1, 3, 4, 6, 8
Race 8 nos. 3, 6, 7, 8, 12, 13, 14

Morphetville:
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 10

Moe:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 11
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 10

Gold Coast:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 9

Kembla:
Race 8 nos. 1, 3, 4, 6, 10, 13

Total outlay of $92. I'll be having very small bets on them so that I will know if it is successful.

Last edited by michaelg : 19th July 2008 at 08:34 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 20th July 2008, 08:23 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Default

Not surprisingly the System would have lost yesterday, but surprisingly the Neural System would have won.

Today's selections.

Hamilton:
Race 4 nos. 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 10
Race 7 nos. 2, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14

Hawkesbury:
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 14

Grafton:
Race 8 nos. 1, 3, 4, 5,7, 9, 11, 15.

Outlay of $36.



Neural System.

Hamilton:
Race 4 nos. 1, 3, 5, 6, 8, 10
Race 7 nos. 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, 13, 16

Bendigo:
Race 8 nos. 1, 4, 5, 8, 12, 13, 15, 20

Sun Coast
Race 7 nos. 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 11

Outlay of $27.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 20th July 2008, 04:25 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A very small win today of $0.90.

There have now been 274 selections for a POT of 7.22%.


Neural Method.

A small win today of $3.60.

There have now been 103 selections for a POT of 61.74%.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 21st July 2008, 10:37 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Today's selections are:

Murwillumbah:
Race 3 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9

Wellington:
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Race 9 nos. 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11

Outlay of $20.


Neural Method.

Wellington
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 9
Race 7 nos. 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 12

Murwillumbah
Race 5 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 10
Race 6 nos. 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10

Outlay of $24.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 21st July 2008, 12:57 PM
wallym wallym is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 3
Default

So for example, in your selection:

Murwillumbah:
Race 3 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9

You'll place 7 single win bets? Thanks!


Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
A Win bet using level stakes, but only with Betfair because of the superior prices.

As a matter of interest, the Neural Method has now snared the winner of Sun Coast R4 No.12, and also the $230 quinella. I got the winner at $65, however on Betfair S.P. it paid an amazing $130.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 21st July 2008, 01:21 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

That's correct, but only with Betfair.

As a matter of interest, number 6 won for a profit of $2.80.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 21st July 2008, 01:32 PM
wallym wallym is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 3
Default

Thanks michaelg,

I'm definitely missing something here...which I guess is how you determine how much to bet on each horse. On your selections:

Murwillumbah:
Race 3 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9

Wellington:
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Race 9 nos. 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11

Outlay of $20.

You have 20 selections...$20 outlay...does it mean $1 per selection?

My apologies for my stupid questions... Thanks!
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:51 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655