Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 5th August 2008, 10:32 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
Smile

Maverick 1993

No.I wouldnt disregard the particular race if your TOP selection were "unders" but I certainly Wouldn,t bet ANY "unders."
If you rated 5 horses and 3 were "overs" they would be ONLY the ones I would bet.

Cheers.
darky
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 5th August 2008, 10:52 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,433
Default

Now I'm with you Darky, but that must mean that sometimes you have placed your bets on say the 3 out of 5 that were showing overs (Dutching them) only to see the other two blow out as well??
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 5th August 2008, 10:57 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
Smile

Hi Party.

In that scenario (and I bet FIXED with IAS) I can still recheck the apparent "unders "again at 2 minutes prior to the race to see whether they are now at an acceptable price.

Cheers.
darky.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 15th August 2008, 05:08 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

If there are two selections , say $1.80 & $16.00
Maybe use a 60/40 spread on these type of situations.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 15th August 2008, 09:08 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,403
Default

I have been giving this a lot of thought lately and trying all sorts of things as i bet 2 selections a race.

At the moment i am betting an amount depending on what price the runners are.

<$5 3 units
$5-$10 2 units
>$10 1 units

But the more and more i look at it putting the same amount on each runner is the best option.

It is always a problem with favs paying a low divi, i guess you have 2 choices putting more on the fav or setting a minimum price.


The second option is what i am heading towards, setting a minimum price if the selection is below this then we just don't bet it.

Sure there are times when you will get the winner and the selection you bet on will lose but in the long run your average odds will be higher, $3.00 is a good minimum price i think and if you use betfair or a bookie you should not have to many of these.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 18th August 2008, 07:20 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

I feel the 60/40 split rather than 50/50 will answer most of your concerns where 2 horses are to be bet .
Because most of ones winners will come from the lower of the 2 priced horses.


You might like to try this approach.

Betting 3 horses a race.

To be used where at least one of the selections is $8.00+

Bet 2+1+1

In Price order.

It can work well.

I feel its an idea not to load short priced horses too much when multi-betting , use them more as a saver to cover some of the greater paying chances.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 19th August 2008, 01:58 PM
crash crash is offline
Suspended.
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
Default

A win bet with one or two savers. A good move ...as long as one of them wins. It can get very expensive when none of them get up though.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 20th August 2008, 11:44 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,330
Smile

A rare occurence on a days betting though.

Cheers.
darky
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 21st August 2008, 07:13 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Betting 5 horses a race.

Target first 5 in Pre-post market.

.Fav must be $3.00+ in the live market.

.One or more selections must be $12.00+

.Bet 2 units on the Fav & 1 unit on all the others.

.Total O/L 6 units

Some fun can be had with this in races with 12 & less runners any more & the SR can fall away.
It's SR is very high.
It has produced winners up to $30.00 which had terrible form.

Works best with Betfair, with some amazing results.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 21st August 2008, 07:22 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
Default

Chasing the Overs.

Another approach is to multiply the top 5 pre-post selection's price x 1.4
e.g.
$7 PP x 1.40 = $9.80 This is the price we want to grab.


Now bet all that that you find within the 5 selections that qualify ,say 4 min out till jump using Betfair.

Grab the price as soon as you see it for half of your normal bet & place the other half of your bet at say 60 secs till jump.

That way, one wont beat ones self up so much if the price blows right out.

If the bet comes right in , still bet it with the other half of your bet.
It could mean that there is market confidence about the horse to produce a win & often does.

Betting 1% of bank.

Cheers.
__________________
Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:45 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655