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  #11  
Old 26th July 2010, 08:28 PM
Debug Debug is offline
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My favourite in the exotics are trifectas.

I basically select 6 runners (usually the first 6 market favourites) with 2 or 3 of them set for finishing 1st and 2nd and the remainder to finish 2nd or 3rd I may include some others to finish 3rd depending on their prices. Field sizes about 8 to 14. I use flexi betting and target a return of 10 to 20 % on the trifecta dividend. The percentage return depends on the number of combinations covered. My bet is usually around $10.
I strike a few trifectas, approximately 1 in 3 or 1 in 4 depending on how things work out on the day. Like most punting there is good and bad days. I certainly will not get rich but I am manage to move my bank forward and it is entertaining. Keeps a SOB occupied.
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  #12  
Old 27th July 2010, 11:54 AM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Debug,

Do you bet on all races or are you selective on which races you hit? Also do you find a difference between Saturday and midweek races on how many you get?
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  #13  
Old 27th July 2010, 06:35 PM
Debug Debug is offline
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Hi Try,
I look for races with particular gaps in runner prices. For example a race with small gaps between say the top 3 or 4 runners and larger price gaps for the rest of the field. I know then that if I strike the winner or the first 2 there is a good chance the 3rd place (or 2nd and 3rd place ) will be taken by runners with higher odds, consequently a better trifecta payout. This is not a hard and fast rule but I use it as a guide. Also keep an eye on the number of combinations I am covering. Too many will result in a smaller profit. Same as dutching.

I usually concentrate on Saturday races because of higher pools. I sometimes use Wednesday when able but don’t seem to have the same success.
Most of the bets are done on RaceTab but will switch to Unitab when they have races with jackpots, or visa versa.
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  #14  
Old 4th August 2010, 11:28 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Out of interest I'll list my selections for today.

When keeping records, the divvies for First Fours are very deceptive. For example, yesterday I snared the exotics for Geelong R7. The F. Four pool held around $7,000 yet the divvy was $11,000. I recorded it as $3,500.

Randwick
5/ 2, 8, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16
6/ 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10

Grafton
7/ 1, 5, 6, 7, 9, 12, 13

Belmont
5/ 3, 4, 5, 6, 10
6/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 9, 13
7/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 8, 9

Dombeen
5/ 1, 2, 3, 6, 7, 8

Sandown
1/ 2, 3, 4, 5, 8
4/ 1, 4, 6, 7, 8, 10
6/ 2, 4, 6, 7, 11, 12

Balaklava
6/ 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 9, 11
7/ 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10

I'm also recording the results for Win betting. At the moment they are showing a loss of 5% on NSW TAB from 319 bets.

Today's outlay:

Win $75
Quinellas $200
Trifectas $1770
F. Fours $6240.

Fingers crossed.

Last edited by michaelg : 4th August 2010 at 11:33 AM.
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  #15  
Old 4th August 2010, 06:27 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Not the best of days.

With the abandonment of Balaklava the quinella outlay was $158 and the return was $157. The trifecta outlay was $1,350 and the return was $1,300. The F. Four outlay was $4,560 and the return was $480 - there was only one F.F. success from the 10 races which is well below the average of 1 in 4.

In Sandown R1 there were 2 horses for the last place in the selection process, and instead of including them I decided to omit them. Which was a pity because not only would it have snared the quinella and trifecta, but also the F.Four of $6,000, and would have meant a winning day for all three types of bets.

The faves won most of the 10 races, and in spite of snaring the winner in 9 of them the Win result showed a 22% loss.

Last edited by michaelg : 4th August 2010 at 06:35 PM.
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