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  #1  
Old 31st December 2010, 09:59 AM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dale
Wes,

Not sure if you can test it but what about-

Unitab top rater

19 race starts or less

last four starts unbroken by spell (90 day)


Would be keen to see the results for races that dont have more than one horse with less than two race starts but again not sure if you can test that.

Cheers.

sorry Dale just realised I missed this post.

I had 3294 selections for a return on betfair of 3299.85


Wasn't sure if you wanted to bet or lay these so didn't dd any extra filters.

I added the extra filter with only 1 horse or less with less then 2 race starts.
It had 2093 selections for a return on betfair of 2102.55
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Old 30th December 2010, 10:09 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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I have 6 months data but it confirms over $30 on betfair is suicide.

Laying all selections over $30 ended up with 23034 selections and if you layed at the available odds you would have paid out 25992. Approx a 10% loss before any commission is taken into account.

Over $100 showed 5773 selections and you would have paid out 6431 before commission is taken into account.

Laying the longest priced runner in the race (min $30 price) showed 7181 selections (or races) and a payout of 8840 before commission is taken into account.

I played around though and found a profitable method for you if you can stomach it and have a deep bank.

You can use unitab ratings or cp ratings. cp is available at r and s neurals.

Stick to those which rank at least 14th or worst in each of these and stick to laying horses above $80.

This had 791 lays for 1 winner at $90.

Obviously one winner could make it bad though so I wouldn't be doing it.
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  #3  
Old 30th December 2010, 10:44 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Thanks for that wesmip1. I thought there was a reason I haven't laid any of these in the past, lol. I certainly don't fancy laying anything above 80.
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