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#1
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Quote:
sorry Dale just realised I missed this post. I had 3294 selections for a return on betfair of 3299.85 Wasn't sure if you wanted to bet or lay these so didn't dd any extra filters. I added the extra filter with only 1 horse or less with less then 2 race starts. It had 2093 selections for a return on betfair of 2102.55 |
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#2
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I have 6 months data but it confirms over $30 on betfair is suicide.
Laying all selections over $30 ended up with 23034 selections and if you layed at the available odds you would have paid out 25992. Approx a 10% loss before any commission is taken into account. Over $100 showed 5773 selections and you would have paid out 6431 before commission is taken into account. Laying the longest priced runner in the race (min $30 price) showed 7181 selections (or races) and a payout of 8840 before commission is taken into account. I played around though and found a profitable method for you if you can stomach it and have a deep bank. You can use unitab ratings or cp ratings. cp is available at r and s neurals. Stick to those which rank at least 14th or worst in each of these and stick to laying horses above $80. This had 791 lays for 1 winner at $90. Obviously one winner could make it bad though so I wouldn't be doing it. |
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#3
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Thanks for that wesmip1. I thought there was a reason I haven't laid any of these in the past, lol. I certainly don't fancy laying anything above 80.
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