Will be surpised if Tango Man, Money Is Magic & Clan Noble don't fight out race 3 at Ascot today.

Also (at Ascot) these could surprise at long odds-

Race 4 nos. 9,10,11 & 13.
Race 5 nos. 2,7,10 & 12.
Race 8 nos. 2,6,8 & 9.

Bit of a review and betting flucs from yesterday’s Ascot races($ decimal odds). Apologies stating Dream of Storms had only missed 1 placing in 19 starts, it was 4 missed placings(5 now!). Northerly account $8.02million after 18w6p29sts.

R1 – A plonk was landed with Royal Fire(6.0 5.0 4.5) sweeping home after being wide, obliterating Freaky Kontiki(2.11 2.63 2.5). Now won both starts, dam Fire Lake is by Bureaucracy.
R2 – Slowly run but why Darren McCaully kept harping on it was more surprising than the winner’s performance. A Bonny Drop(4.25 5.0 4.5) fast finish beating the “perennial bridesmaid” She’s Captivating(3.25 3.5 4.25).
R3 – Good odds Tango Man(4.5 5.0) had the smother and broke clear. They’ll need to claim or jump him in class now. His conqueror of recent starts Fore Stay is in the Aha Cup at Bunbury today.That was an awful Turnerz(5.0 5.5). Clan Noble(5.0 4.6) ran top 4th, wide t/o, loomed up in straight.
R4 – At the finish only 2.75len covered the first 11 runners. True Surrender(11.0 13.0) met Time is Money 3kg better for 1len defeat 2 sts ago c/d. Last start was poor at Bunbury but what do they say about forgiving 1 bad run? Cool Eyed(8.0 9.0 8.5) top on-pace effort, still eligible for a C2.
R5 – Exhilarating call by McCaully as Instantaneous(3.5 3.75) gave every runner a start and a beating and nailed the short Arrian(1.80) who had every chance 2ndup. Winner was a maiden for 15sts now won 3 last 5. Vindaloo didn’t race here but split Blinded and Instantaneous last week so worth a good look next time.
R6 – Charming Story(10.0 11.0 9.0) beat a good Tapdog(6.5 6.0). Kristian Hawkins set Warning Tune(10.0 13.0) an impossible task with the 57kg running at seemingly uncontrollable speed. Hope the Stewards ask a question.
R7 – Mr.Callahan(8.0 10.0) gave KForrester a winning double. Kames Hope ripe for a 1400m run next start. There must be two Firebands, and a poor 13th for Family Dreams(8.9 9.0 7.0), Dexian(6.0 5.5) ok 5len adrift from winner.
R8- Perhaps the biggest plonk landed in recent Saturdays was here on Moon Talk(4.25 5.0 4.0 3.0) when she got an inside run. If Ikenushi doesn’t get the split he’s a mug, he does and it was a great ride. Generous odds again Bandolero(8.0 10.0 9.0) top 2nd . Old Beau(4.0 4.5 4.0) bit wide,plugged.

Good punting this week.

[ This Message was edited by: red on 2003-02-23 04:27 ]

Great review Red.

I've blackbooked a couple from your comments.

Bunbury today - Sunday 23rd Feb.

R4: Good run by Cyclone Sox in stronger grade last start, will be also suited by the step up in distance. Cherry Blossom & He's So Vain main dangers. Raw Excitement could run well fresh.

R5: Platinum has to be hard to beat, based on goods run last two in the city. Gold Weave unlucky 2nd last start, this course & distance. Mordor won a class 1 this course & distance last start as a maiden. Simply Marooned can surprise if she can get a good run up on the lead.

R6: The topweight Main Stage looks the hardest to beat. Also qualifies as a "topweight" system selection. Main danger could be Dedicated Miss, who meets Main Stage better at the weights for thier last start clash. Expecting further improvement from Paradiddle. Also include Magic Dash, should be nice odds.

R7: Devil's Dance going great guns. Bellcina top win last start. Dancing Tycoon has some good city form, although did put in a shocker at first run back after a spell. Dance With Angels goes well fresh & should be at good odds.

R8: Huge run by Wandoo Park last start at Ascot, althouhg not suited by step down in distance. Dawn Trooper has been thereabouts recently in tougher class & will appreciate the drop back to class 2. Biraka Girl lightly raced and goes well fresh. Bring It Home Babe good 2nd to Cool Eyed last start - Cool Eyed ran a good 3rd yesterday at Ascot.

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Out in front - you make your own luck!

Nice tipping El Gordo - 4 winners and your top selection saluted in the cup. Also nice run by your top selection in the last, a fast finishing close 3rd paying around $4 the place.

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Ta me go maith

Thanks for the positive feedback Paddy :wink:

Pinjarra today – Wednesday 26th Feb.

R1: St Magnus looks the best of the raced brigade. Expect improvement from Lukaboom & Magic Micro. Unraced Hester Street could be a smoky.

R2: Caribbean Royale will be hard to beat on exposed city form, also addition of blinkers. Expect Bay Ivy to be a big danger, goes well fresh. Other chances include Contrabandido & Fred In The Red.

R3: Like Waspish in this, been knocking at the door. Gold Shaker a chance with natural improvement. Add Hot Stats, Rhythmo & Native Silver into the multiples.

R4: Dreamtime Lover narrowly beaten at first start looks a top chance. Main dangers look to be Diamond Raider & Aqualisa. Add Blonde Babe & Polish Mist into the multiples.

R5: With the scratchings, Conspirator now looks almost a special. Valley Tiger & Miss Sabrina seem best of the rest.

R6: Al Salil looks the hardest to beat. Thorium next best, from Stella Bellissima & Our Doreen.

R7: Mint Play will enjoy the step up in distance. Admiral Black & Narcissism the main dangers. Jev Force a chance at odds.

R8: Ovation on top. Mikis Prospector & Botanix next best. Lados & Valouise always thereabouts. One at odds – Ace O’Class with blinkers added.

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Out in front - you make your own luck!

Well done yet again El Gordo.

Your top pick won race 1 - $2.40, race 2 - $4.10 (also tri in order), race 3 - $5.80 (also quin), race 4 - $2.10, race 5 - $1.60 & race 8 - $4.70 (also quin).

You also tipped the winner of race 7 from your top 3 - $3.20 (top pick running 3rd). The only race you missed out on was race 6 where you managed 2nd ($7.40 place) and 3rd (top pick).

Once again well done :wink:

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Ta me go maith

Yes very well done El Gordo, great work!

Notice you are not posting for Saturday meetings :???:

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All the best from the West

Sandgroper :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2003-02-27 13:43 ]

Thanks Paddy & Sandgroper, considering the number of views this thread has been getting, you don't get much feedback for your efforts. So thanks again, much appreciated.

To be honest not sure if I will bother anymore.

Have not been posting on Saturday since the tipping comp started, Sandgroper - don't want to be accused of steering any lad or lassie in the wrong direction, do I :grin:

__________________
Out in front - you make your own luck!

Yes this thread and ‘The Perth Scene’ gets the hits, hope browsers getting a feel for WA racing. This week I emailed the WATC asking why Ascot and Belmont don’t alternate every week year-round, instead of the summer Ascot, winter Belmont. The reply from Chris Tidy was quick and obvious : “only need to spit on the turf at Ascot and it becomes a bog”. Just thought some runners could benefit from different surroundings, owners/trainers wouldn’t mind, punters also have preferred courses.
Today, Northerly at 10.50am. Ascot Rail 6m.

R1 – I have it pretty open with Essential Terms at around 4/1. Expect a much better run from Beyond Dispute, just cross out last start run. End Path drops 5 kg with claim, has bar1, likes the Ascot 1200.

R3 – Keen on 7 Kontiki Sir. Was sort of up there chasing a fast speed last week and held on very well. Harvey on, drops 2.5kg for the class rise, has the early speed to find the fence and control the race. My mate 5 Super Moss a chance and well weighted on best, 1 Twin Power may come across from wide gate, backing up from last week.

R4 – Tricky, my convictions are….. 4 Blinded might start fav. and could be unders. Harvey on 2 Dedicated Miss will attract some rank and file punters, she didn’t stay the 2000m at Bunbury. 7 Beaucoup Argent is 3rd up but winning form is at Kalgoolie, 6 Abu Dhabi drops 2kg for the cls rise, 5A Bonny Drop ran sub 34 last 600m last week, will give a start again though. 1Opening Twist had a slight setback.

R5 – Harvey on 2 Son of Vasac will be short odds, excellent win c/d December, just need to find the split off the fence before the turn. Targetting the Pinjarra/Bunbury Cups double. 1 Exit Lane to improve. The speed from 4 MissTorpago, 8 Rodeo Man, 7 Metalory, 5 Voltega.

R6 – 45k Listed 1600m for 3yo fillies with 20starters. Very open, and a few attempting the distance for first time.

R7 – Very good 40k Listed 3yo 1400m with several promising prospects, short odds shouldn’t be offered...Harvey had a choice of a few and went for the resuming 1The Right Money. 2Mercury Halo untapped with 4 starts 4wins, new dist, up against stronger field..3Early Express might cross and lead, best win was this dist. in Lee Steere in December. 4 MoonTalk wants1400, up against stronger field. 6Kestrel Call 2nd B/T, 8Kennedy 2mths break,consistent.

R8 – D-Day for 3Tribulations. In this he has some rival speed to contend with but could still box seat settling. Hall has won on him before, probably needed the 3week break after chasing hard behind Inzaghi, should be primed. Several chances in order 7,1,4.

Top day to all.