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#11
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SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: McY SYST_BHAGGYS FAV 01/12/2010-30/11/2011
............. WIN ...... PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR Races Bet: 422 422 422 422 422 403 Races Won: 168 292 188 129 95 67 S.R./Race: 39.8% 69.2% 44.5% 30.6% 22.5% 16.6% Outlay($): 422.00 422.00 2125.00 2125.00 8604.00 25284.00 Return : 448.50 429.08 2259.70 2497.80 9731.70 31721.40 $ Profit : 26.50 7.08 134.70 372.80 1127.70 6437.40 % P.O.T. : 6.3% 1.7% 6.3% 17.5% 13.1% 25.5% Av Win Div: 2.67 Av Plc Div: 1.47 Win SR/Seln: 39.8 Plc SR/Seln: 69.2 LSW no maidens and a simple twist eliminating some runners |
#12
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SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYST_BHAGGYS FAV 01/12/2010-30/11/2011
.................WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR Races Bet: 217 217 217 217 217 207 Races Won: 95 164 110 73 55 38 S.R./Race: 43.8% 75.6% 50.7% 33.6% 25.3% 18.4% Outlay($): 217.00 217.00 1091.00 1091.00 4408.00 12912.00 Return : 255.80 236.26 1215.40 1325.10 5873.60 18053.20 $ Profit : 38.80 19.26 124.40 234.10 1465.60 5141.20 % P.O.T. : 17.9% 8.9% 11.4% 21.5% 33.2% 39.8% Av Win Div: 2.69 Av Plc Div: 1.44 Win SR/Seln: 43.8 Plc SR/Seln: 75.6 Dis <2000 Wt =<56 and no Sunday. LSW no maidens and the simple twist |
#13
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SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYST_BHAGGYS FAV 01/12/2010-30/11/2011
WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR Races Bet: 170 170 170 170 170 163 Races Won: 78 129 88 61 45 33 S.R./Race: 45.9% 75.9% 51.8% 35.9% 26.5% 20.2% Outlay($): 170.00 170.00 852.00 852.00 3428.00 10032.00 Return : 207.30 183.12 965.00 1062.90 4691.10 14861.10 $ Profit : 37.30 13.12 113.00 210.90 1263.10 4829.10 % P.O.T. : 21.9% 7.7% 13.3% 24.8% 36.8% 48.1% Av Win Div: 2.66 Av Plc Div: 1.42 Win SR/Seln: 45.9 Plc SR/Seln: 75.9 Added win/place %ranking =<5 and max LSW =<5 3 races per week |
#14
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SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYST_BHAGGYS FAV 01/10/2007-30/11/2011
WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR Races Bet: 749 748 749 749 749 726 Races Won: 288 487 321 219 156 104 S.R./Race: 38.5% 65.1% 42.9% 29.2% 20.8% 14.3% Outlay($): 749.00 748.00 3773.00 3773.00 15310.00 45810.00 Return : 746.20 699.98 3608.40 4010.70 14884.60 40947.70 $ Profit : -2.80 -48.02 -164.60 237.70 -425.40 -4862.30 % P.O.T. : -0.4% -6.4% -4.4% 6.3% -2.8% -10.6% Av Win Div: 2.59 Av Plc Div: 1.44 Win SR/Seln: 38.5 Plc SR/Seln: 65.0 Strenght of this were the last 5 months 2009 and 2010 both negative years Breakdown by Year - Level Stakes Breakdown by Year - Level Stakes Bets Wins $Return Outs %SR $Up $Dn %Up %Dn $Profit %POT IV SR POT 2007 46 19 49.8 4 41 3.8 - - - 3.8 8 1.07 2008 198 83 202.8 11 42 8.6 - - - 4.8 2 1.09 2009 188 61 163.9 14 32 -15.5 - - - -24.1 -13 0.84 2010 157 51 137.6 9 32 -34.9 - - - -19.4 -12 0.84 2011 160 74 192.1 8 46 -2.8 - - - 32.1 20 1.20 |
#15
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Thanks for those data checks
I must of left something out. Lets try again. Fav TAB 5-8 Ran 1-5 LS Field size <= 8 Track Good only. 48%SR 34% POT There were 150 selections for the System There were 72 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 48% There were $200.48 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $50.48 or a percentage profit/loss of 33.65% The Rules used were : horseNumber >= 5 and horseNumber <=8 and priceRank < 90 and priceRank = 1 and lastStart >= 1 and lastStart <=5 and runners <= 8 and cond = 'G'
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Cheers. |
#16
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ran those exact rules thru the database again 10,000 favs: result:
Bets 193 hits 74 S/R 38.34% (pretty good) place 128 hits (66.32%) Returns for the win = $186.8 (LOT 3.21%) Place =$198 POT 2.59% |
#17
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Bhagwan
I had field size at 16. These new parameters show that the wins have been in the last 4 months but a loss over the year |
#18
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SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: MY SYST_BHAGGY FAV 01/12/2010-30/11/2011
WIN PLACE QUINELLA EXACTA TRIFECTA FIRST FOUR Races Bet: 386 384 386 386 386 358 Races Won: 156 270 221 144 129 103 S.R./Race: 40.4% 70.3% 57.3% 37.3% 33.4% 28.8% Outlay($): 386.00 384.00 1911.00 1911.00 7592.00 21216.00 Return : 370.20 378.18 1757.60 1906.00 7221.30 19005.70 $ Profit : -15.80 -5.82 -153.40 -5.00 -370.70 -2210.30 % P.O.T. : -4.1% -1.5% -8.0% -0.3% -4.9% -10.4% |
#19
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Bhagwan,
Remember my system tester only has data since Aug 11. Also its based on betfair prices at 10 secs from jump. Im not sure wehat prices bentons/partypoopers db's runs against but different prices can mean different results. |
#20
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Thanks for those stats Beton.
They look interesting. I see your stats show a SR of 40% (very good) Just a little tip when posting stats in such a format. Because the Propun uses a program that automatically adjusts all 2+ spacings to just 1 One can use a series of ..... or ---- to space out the information to a format that's easier to look at. Cheers.
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Cheers. |
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