Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #11  
Old 13th January 2012, 05:43 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,494
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Every animal in every Race has Odds of winning a Race.
If you are simply dismissing an animal as having zero chance based on certain criteria , then you will learn that this is erroneous thinking.
It may be today or it may be tomorrow or it may be next week , but you will find one of your dismissed animals will actually salute.

You must have an idea of an animals Chances of winning , and only Lay it at odds less than what you consider.
The difference between what you consider the right Odds , and what you actually lay it at , is called your perceived edge.
If you don't have an edge , then you don't have anything.
And if your perceived edge is wrong , you still have nothing.

I fully agree with you moeee. I am assessing these horses as having less then a 1% chance. Maybe I get some right and I get some right. 1% chance is $100 and 2% chance is $50 . I'll form a cutoff point when I have more data onm my selection technique.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 05:47 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655