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#11
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Quote:
Careful Doc, you may make an ass out of yourself. Seriously though, good luck with it.
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Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.” ― Earl Nightingale |
#12
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Doc's Donkeys - December 5th Update
Hall Of Fame
Nil Hall of Shame Nil Current Horses Gran Torino ($13.9) Anelene ($10) |
#13
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Gran Torino loves the AW track.
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The Schmile "I buy when other people are selling.” ― J. Paul Getty |
#14
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Quote:
I forgot to mention must have had at least 10 Career Starts. |
#15
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This is really good stuff doc. PPM used to show a profit with their horses to follow although darkydog2002 disputed their legitimacy. The HS used to have Spring Carnival "stable" but it very rarely did any good. I'm a huge fan of the "concept" of following a horse. I have one David Hayes' horses picked out for when it returns ..... Storm Shield.
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#16
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Doc's Donkeys - Weekend Initial Contenders
Nice to hear that Barny. Was a little worried I had hijacked your post.
Below are the initial contenders for the weekend (just in case you want to launch an assault on Early Bird prices) Art Thou Ready SR 5 no.1 (Fri) Carmine King SR 7 no.4 (Fri) Tariana MR 4 no.1 Signified BR 6 no.2 Racing Heart SR 6 no.14 Madam Nash SR 7 no.1 Number One Gun SR 8 no.10 I will post after final scratchings on Friday and Saturday. |
#17
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Doc's Donkeys - Friday Night Dec 7
SR 5 no 1 - Art Thou Ready (Target $10) $2 Bet @ $6
SR 7 no 4 - Carmine King (Target $10) $2 Bet @ $6 Cheers Doc |
#18
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Please keep it going docdapunta, this will be a great lesson and done in real time. My money is on you showing a profit, but not until you're into starts 2, 3 and further becasue we need some ordinary form, increase in class, to increase the divs. I suspect early on you'll get winners but the divs will be disappointing.
doc's donkey's eh ?? Donkey walks into a bar and the barman says "Why the long face ??" |
#19
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If that's the case, I'd love to hear suggestions for a staking plan we could use. With the plan of chasing a set amount per horse, larger dividends will just reduce the outlay. Plenty of time to discuss this as we come up with some results to look at.....
Cheers Doc |
#20
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I have no idea if this would work but what if you did loss sharing? For example you got 4 horses your initially following call them Apple, Banana, Lemon and Melon. Apple is the first to run at $4 odds so you have to bet $3.33 to get your $10 profit, unfortunately Apple loses so you loss share:
The profit required on your next bets for all horses would be: Apple: $10.83 Banana: $10.83 Lemon: $10.83 Melon: $10.83 (The $0.83 is from $3.33 / 4) Next to run is Banana, follow the same process and so on. Like i've said I have no idea if this is actually viable or would work but my logical thinking is that even if 1 horse just doesn't seem to perform at all and you don't get that win your chasing, then at least you've shared the losses across other horses that you'd hope eventually will lead to that win to offset the losses. Has anyone trialed something similar to this previously? purely just an idea i've came up with sitting here at the moment. |
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