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  #11  
Old 15th May 2013, 12:26 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
All good mate, $7,204 using BF Back prices less commission $6,736. But hang on this is for a $100 stake not $50? What's going on?
Cheers RP



my fried brain coming to the party?
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  #12  
Old 15th May 2013, 02:35 PM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
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Stugots, would have been a good day Monday at Dubbo, 240:1 Brave Jay got up. $1,306 for the day. Tuesday no good, a loss of $2,300. All $100 stake.
RP
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  #13  
Old 15th May 2013, 02:52 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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Rinconpaul, if I get the time tonight I will run the last 12 months, but if my previous endevours in this area are anything to go by, it will not make for good reading.
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  #14  
Old 15th May 2013, 05:18 PM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
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Cheers mate. I'll tell you how lucky I am. I ran a test today with $5 bets Dutching >=$20. I had a couple of early wins but also a lot of losses so after losing $100 the bot was set to stop betting. It stopped betting just before a 42:1 shot got up at Sandown R8 and then a 100:1 Canterbury R7!!
Can you beleive it?
RP
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  #15  
Old 15th May 2013, 05:56 PM
tedbluegum tedbluegum is offline
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Default Dutch backing longshots

Hi Riconpaul

Can you provide the link to Betons spreadsheet if possible please?
Like you I am fairly new to the forums. I reckon your inputs have created a lot of new interest with different slants and ideas on dutching and lay betting. I am sure fellow forum members would agree.

Age has caught up with me but I am still having fun dabbling with dutching and lay betting following ideas from the more experienced punters like Stugots, Speedy and MG. I am sure I have missed numerous others.

Thanks Ted
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  #16  
Old 15th May 2013, 06:43 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Cheers mate. I'll tell you how lucky I am. I ran a test today with $5 bets Dutching >=$20. I had a couple of early wins but also a lot of losses so after losing $100 the bot was set to stop betting. It stopped betting just before a 42:1 shot got up at Sandown R8 and then a 100:1 Canterbury R7!!
Can you beleive it?
RP



ooo yeah, the punting gods are a pack of **********

will post last 12 months results in the morning
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  #17  
Old 15th May 2013, 06:55 PM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tedbluegum
Hi Riconpaul

Can you provide the link to Betons spreadsheet if possible please?
Like you I am fairly new to the forums. I reckon your inputs have created a lot of new interest with different slants and ideas on dutching and lay betting. I am sure fellow forum members would agree.

Age has caught up with me but I am still having fun dabbling with dutching and lay betting following ideas from the more experienced punters like Stugots, Speedy and MG. I am sure I have missed numerous others.

Thanks Ted

It's a thread called "first five statistics" January 2013. I'm going to embellish it tomorrow by inserting $ values in lieu of % to make it quicker to spot an under/overlay, which I'll post for anyone interested. Thanks against to Beton for providing the original.
Cheers RP
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  #18  
Old 15th May 2013, 08:27 PM
beton beton is offline
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Please remember that the sheet is "to tote" BF is different.
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  #19  
Old 15th May 2013, 10:24 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Your much better off dutching all runners under $30 then all those over $30.
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  #20  
Old 16th May 2013, 05:38 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Your much better off dutching all runners under $30 then all those over $30.
UB, are you referenceing BF SP prices in this statement? What do you do if the dutching calculator runs out of profit before it gets down to the 29:1 shot, NO bet?
Why not Top & Tail it by Dutch Back < $30 and Lay >= $30?
I perceived there was more value in Backing the longer priced horses because they are massive overlays to the tote price or true chance of winning %?
Interested to hear your thoughts or confirmed stats UB, thanks. RP
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