#11
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![]() It also answers the question, is late money smart money?
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 413,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/01/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#12
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![]() Yep Chrome.
Will try the system out tomorrow. Gees.It might actually work ? |
#13
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![]() It comes down to certain money for certain price ranges and certain fluctuation percentages. You can't back all of them that move a bit, or you'll be left out of pocket.
e.g 3 - Magnifisio 2.25, 2.35, 1.8, 1.75 WON 7 - Dark Delight 1.6, 1.65, 1.5, 1.45 WON 6 - Monkstone 4.2, 4.2, 3.1, 3 2ND 8 - Midnight Glory 7, 7, 6, 5.5 3RD 1 - Hai Lil 5, 5.5, 4.6, 4.4 3RD 7 - Pillar Of Creation 10, 11, 8, 7.5 WON 10 - Brave Prince 15, 15, 8, 7.5 UNP 13 - Loot 'n' Run 6, 6, 3.3, 3.2 UNP 7 - Let's Be A Star 11, 11, 7.5, 7 WON 18 - Emblems 3, 3.5, 2.6, 2.5 3RD 4 - Cape Kidnappers 1.6, 1.6, 1.5, 1.45 WON 4 - Nude Secrets 6, 6, 5, 4.8 3RD 7 - Keep It Moist 8, 8, 5, 4.8 UNP 6 - Scalaire 10, 10, 7.5, 7 UNP 4 - Amiconi Originale 5, 5, 4.4, 4 2ND 5 - Natural Disaster 4.2, 4.6, 2.9, 3 UNP 5 - Angelology 2.7, 2.8, 2, 2.2 WON 2 - Beyond Infinity 7, 7, 4.6, 4.4 2ND 7 - Komodo 5, 5, 3.8, 3.6 3RD 10 - Value As 10, 11, 9, 8.5 WON 20 selections 7 winners 8 placings Win Return at worst SP Fluctuation $29.85 POT 49.25% 35% Win strike rate 75% Place strike rate Look for the most money at the shortest odds, and anything backed in from double figures into single figures.
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RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 413,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/01/2025 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#14
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![]() CP, is Scone one of your leaders tracks?
Might be a great pointer when such solid shorteners jump out & lead at your leader tracks. |
#15
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![]() I noticed that the 3 bigger winners opened at $10 or better and shortened in under $10 same as last sat and got rid of a lot of losses.
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#16
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![]() Just read the names it is last sat daaa.
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#17
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![]() Quote:
LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB |
#18
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![]() Quote:
It will be "Mein Gott" if it ever occurs Darky. A steamer is usually the 2nd fluc is less than the Open OR the 2nd Fluc matches the Open & the next one or two price flucs are less than the Open. e.g. 5.5 4.6 OR 5.5, 5.5, 4.5 OR 5.5, 5.5, 4.5, 4 I've yet to find a steamer that comes in 3 Price Flucs like 5.5, 5, 4.5, 4 not in the last few days anyway. Even if you Back the steamers they still only win about 30% of races. Might have more success Backing them to run a Place and Laying them to not win. RP |
#19
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![]() Quote:
Just to satisfy my curiosity , I did the exercise using rules: If steamer odds/on Back for Win If steamer not odds/on Lay to lose and Back for a Place Result: 29% POT Those longer priced horses brought home the bacon for the Backers. Might have been a different story if one of the odds/on horses failed to win? RP |
#20
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![]() To be honest I wont use this at all.
To wait for a horse to shorten before betting is ridiculous. If my asessed price is $7.50 and its now $10 I accept the price greedily. Imagine the other scenario. "gee its $10 now .I better wait until its $3. Lock me up in my little padded cell. |
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