#11
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yep ya right when i wrote that i hadnt even looked at the teams and i was confused but I had a squiz and came up with that last post
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#12
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couple of short prices with teams that are out of form, so straight out and multi's i'll look for value.
Bris lions to win 1-39 @ $2.80 w/bulldogs to win 1-39 @ $2.65 hawthorn to win 1-39 @ $3.60 kangaroos to win 1-39 @ $2.75 |
#13
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Goldmember
When I play those margin bets,and my team is about 37 or so points in front during the last quarter,it ruins the game as a spectacle. I start hoping my team misses the shot for goal and cursing players. I now think better to take the shorter odds the win and just get in the collect window. |
#14
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Yeah, I never take that sort of margin bet either. It's hard enough to simply pick the winning team without also having to hope that they don't actually win by too much!
I will sometimes back teams to win OVER the margin if my ratings say that they're going to absolutely thrash the opposition, but I never pick teams to win UNDER the margin. |
#15
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Moeee, tried the shorts last year and there is always 1 team that stuffs up a weekends football.I try to mix up multi's and cut down on legs, getting better value and not outlaying as much. These aren't all multi bets, there just what i think are value selections , i will probably back the the kangaroos,w/bulldogs,hawthorn,and geelong with A start and mix them up with margins along with league bets and do the same with league and afl, but as you know with sportodds you cant multi some different options as you can with sportstab so i'll pick between the two and mix them up
cheers |
#16
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Quote:
Still think it ruins it a bit when your team is marginally under the 40 points. But thats probably me and my personality. Tell you what though. I had St.Kilda to beat Brisbane by 1 to 12 pts. and I loved that game,umpire errors regardless. Goldmember - What does it mean "tried the shorts" - Excuse my ignorance,but I'm here to learn. Mo. [ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-05-21 12:13 ] |
#17
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All depends on the games you pick, if its a hard game and the team i think can win is the outsider, well i wouldnt take them 40+.I only bet on the margins ocasionally anyway, but i thought there a good price, better than backing them straight out, if there gunna lose, there gunna lose, might as well get a better price.
cheers |
#18
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Comprende Goldmember.
How then would you have felt,if you backed the kangaroos last week?. Your selection bolts in and the bookies still get your money.Found another way of getting beaten. Maybe split your stake in a ratio of 90% (1-39) and 10% (40+).Not too big a dent in return if your smaller margin gets up. Mo. |
#19
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Quote:
Well the Port stats that you have provided speak for me. They spoke for Hawthorn,Kangaroos and Geelong last week. Ports shocker last week? Kangaroos had a shocker prior to your research to their chances against Port. The Carlton game is a bit harder to see. Its more in the last 4 times they met at Optus. Actually,On second thoughts,I wish I left this game out and just stuck with Port and Brisbane. Mo. |
#20
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moeee, last year i took pick your own starts and was taking anywhere from +12.5t to +45.5 ,and $1.15 to $1.50 and most of them were the top teams and favourites, but sometimes the bludgers got flogged, so now i pick more carefully and go for better value and limit selections to 1 or a couple of teams in the AFL andthe same in NRL and have got better results.
cheers |
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