NOW I'm starting to see a chopping block.(Insert smiley face here.)

I suggest you take a look at Goldmembers Banned List and reconsider.
I remember back in the seventies,there was a horse called "Like A Tiger".It used to place in WFA races and got the title of the best maiden performer in Australia.
Never bet maidens to win.
Not that Richmond are maidens,but I think they are way out of their class this time.
Of course,you said with the points in,so all that I've written don't apply.But stuffed if I'm rubbing out all that effort.
All those who think Richmond should be backed to win NOTE the above.

Moeee, sometimes i look past the stats and go on what i think and what i see. Do you think stats can be misleading sometimes ? I know if you go by the stats that are there it gets you thinking[ sometimes fore the worse]I suppose its up to each persons own view on how you use them.

Well, Richmond are basically on my banned list too. However, if they receive a points start on TAB Sportsbet, then they become a selection for my Home Dogs system. One of the things about using systems successfully is that you back all the selections no matter what your personal opinions are.

This IS Richmond though, so I would probably have only half my normal bet! :smile:

My selection system is mainly mechanical.
It relies on past performances going back 28 matches.(Why 28? Why not).
I did toy with Home and Away advantages for a while but couldn't get it to work.So I just guesstimate now.
Spin doctors can make you believe anything with their stats.
Richmond stats say they have an easy win this weekend.No way!.There must be something wrong here.I'm sure upon closer examination,Fremantle must come up as the favoured team.
I'll be back.

[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-06-09 23:07 ]

One of the things about using systems successfully is that you back all the selections no matter what your personal opinions are.

I'm a systems man too.And I think the time to review the rules is when a selection is thrown up that doesn't make sense.And definately when it doesn't make sense and runs way down the track.

For example my bonus for home advantage,I sort of pull out of my a--e.
If my suspicions are right,Sportznut,your system seems to bias the recent head to head results.
Leave an egg out of the fridge long enough and it will go off.How far back should you go to find useful data ?
Noticed Goldmembers analysis of Essendons' form.Great job he did.You know,I'm prepared for a blowout to the lions here.
By the way Goldmember,only 1 "e" before the "m" in Fremantle.
And also,how did you end up investing in the St.Kilda/Swans game last Sunday ?

Apostrophe before the S in Essendon's

[ This Message was edited by: Floydyboy on 2004-06-09 16:55 ]

"ARE YOU TALKIN TO ME"

Well, actually my ratings are mainly skewed in favour of home ground advantage, but I do take H2H into account. I've actually rated Fremantle a 20 point better team than Richmond this week, but I penalised them 20 points for playing in Melbourne, so that's how I ended up with a draw for that game. I also penalised the Lions 20 points for playing Essendon in Melbourne, and that's why my ratings pick the Bombers in that game. On the other hand, Adelaide has a good record in Perth, so I've only penalised the Crows 10 points.

By the way, I only use these ratings as a guide. They are by no means infallible and I wouldn't be surprised if they end up being way off the mark this week.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-06-09 17:19 ]

Well I am much more conservative than you,Sportznut in my travelling bonusses.
I went only 11 points Fremantle,and 6 points Brisbane.
Don't you smell something fishy when the tip is Essendon to beat Brisbane ?
Like I said,I just pulled a figure out of my head,and came up with 6 penalty points for Brisbane.
Don't want to steal your secrets,but if your willing to give them away,how did you come up with the 20 for Brisbane please.
The 20 for Fremantle,I can understand.