Never said no such thing in that thread or any other thread.
I tip Collingwood to win by 22 points.
Sharpen up your act
:grin:

Well Moe, slightly adjusted my system for AFL. Result from the testing over the last three season was 190-139 :smile:

NRL wasn't too bad either, 196-138 :wink:

Yes Mr J.

Does that mean you selected 193 even money chances out of 329.
Or does that mean you came up with 193 or so winners out of 329 selections.

Heads you win,Tails you lose.

They're all bets against the spreads (handicaps). So they're all meant to be roughly 50/50.

I agree that that record would be very unimpressive if just trying to pick the winner!!!

BTW, had Carlton +17.5. System had it at +13.55

West Coast at over even money. System has Eagles winning comfortably.

Richmond +49.5. System has the line at +41.3.

Problem with your system,and mine,is it doesn't allow for the gut factor.
You follow the Other code closely and have mere human opinions on the chances.
I'm like that with AFL.
But anyway,whatever works,works!

Well you would be singing the blues but I don't know about the wings of an eagle lifting you up.
Richmond?.Don't go there.
Refer Goldmembers banned list.

Thats what i do with the NRL moeee, watch all the games closely and seeing is believing,sometimes its better that way rather than relying on a model,dont get the good info on the AFL up here, except for the footy show and watching most games, so any help on any games would be appreciated moeee

thanks

"But anyway,whatever works,works!"

Yep. The model has performed well in AFL from '02 to '04 despite not considering byes, injuries and SOO etc.

"Refer Goldmembers banned list."

That's HIS banned list. That said, from what I remember richmond has cost me a bit.

"watch all the games closely and seeing is believing,sometimes its better that way rather than relying on a model,"

Totally disagree. Without the numbers it's very hard to profit. I'd love to see how guys on the two footy shows do at trying to profit over a season of betting.

Mr j, i only watch the AFL footy show to get any team changes, i don't take any notice of what they tip as i have my own opinions.As for watching a game, if a team, lets say souths or manly get beaten by 50, and you have them next time +14,[ i know it depends on who they play] some of the time you do your money cold be they even kick off.

Well, Carlton (+17.5) was a good win for the 'Home Dog' system and $2.20 was good value. :smile:

Not sure how they go betting wise, but I know that the guys from the NRL Footy Show are pretty awful tipsters.