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  #1  
Old 5th January 2008, 08:38 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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I thought I would re-introduce this interesting plan which is still performing well at level stakes.
With no form study.

Best using Betfair Fav & prices.
Their prices are far superior to the TABs.

To repeat the rules.
.Wait for a Fav to win before we commence betting the Fav for that venue at level stakes for a max of 4 races only for that venue.

.Stop betting once we have struck a winner at that venue within 4 bets.

.If we strike 4 losers in a row at that venue, no more betting at that venue for the day.

.Now do the same for all the other venues, 7 days a week .

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  #2  
Old 23rd September 2004, 04:54 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Hi Peakeaster,

That 1st race at sale had duel Favs so I ignored the race.
I forgot to mention that we are trying to find the clear cut Fav.
It`s best to ignore the race , if there are 2 with the same price ,this is very rare but it does happen.

Betting to price is where we divide the div into the takeout figure e.g.$3.00 into $20=$7

As stated before ,it`s best to stop betting at a particular venue if one encounters 3-4 outs in a row.

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  #3  
Old 7th January 2005, 09:37 AM
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This plan is still standing up.

Check it out .

Remember to stop betting at the targeted venue once the 2nd (which is our 1st bet) Fav gets up or we encounter 4 outs in a row at that venue.
Level stakes betting.
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  #4  
Old 8th January 2005, 10:25 AM
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RESULTS -Fri 7th Jan05
Targeting the 4 venues on the day.
4 wins from 7 =57%
O/L 7 Ret 9.80=2.80=40% POT
Divs 2.80,1.70,1.70,3.60
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  #5  
Old 23rd September 2004, 04:59 AM
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Results Wed 22nd.
4 from 8 =50% SR
$2.00+3.50+1.70+2.70=9.9
23.75%POT

One race had dul Favs ,so it was ignored.


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  #6  
Old 24th September 2004, 07:27 AM
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Results Wed 23rd Sep.

4 wins from 9 races=44%
POT 24%
$3.10+2.20+3.00+2.90=11.20

We stoped after the 4th. loss at Lismore.
It struck the only winner for that venue in the 1st. race.

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  #7  
Old 24th September 2004, 08:04 AM
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Summary of last 6 days.

28 wins from 58 races = 48%SR
Return $71.20
Profit $14.20= +24.5%POT
Av. Div $2.54

You can see that backing TAB favs is a hard grind & the mantra on this site is to seek value.

How do we get some value out of this approach I hear you sqweel.

What we will do over the next few days is to follow a Tipsters 1st selection instead of the TAB fav.
You will see that the average price will be much better, with the same strike rate.


RULES
1)For the exercise we will follow the RadioTABQ 1st selection ,these guys have a approx 25% SR.

You could use any tipster you fancy.
You may prefer to follow a tipsters 2nd selection instead of his 1st selection, so as to instill higher priced horses & chance a lower SR

2)Wait for their 1st selection to get up , before we start betting that venue, then stop betting once the next selection wins for us at that venue .
Now ,do the same for all the other venues for the day.

3)Stop betting if one strikes 4 outs in a row for that venue.
What you will find is they will usually have 2 or more wins at that venue or non at all.
Very rare that they only have 1 winner for the day & if they do ,we would only be on a maximum of 4 looses before we stop betting at that venue.




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  #8  
Old 24th September 2004, 07:51 PM
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Results Fri 24 Sep
Following Radio TABQ 1st. Selection
4 win from 13 =31%SR
$3.60+4.30+1.60+8.00=17.50
+4.50 units
POT +35%

On this day, a number of 2nd TABQ selections got up at good prices so the idea of targeting those would have also worked.

As suggested before ,its best to only target venues with 7+ races.
So ,if the a venue has 6 or less races, no bet that venue.


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  #9  
Old 25th October 2004, 05:29 PM
nashy nashy is offline
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Hey guys,

I'm thinking of using this system a go tomorrow, do you just go for the win bet? Anyone got any advice for more succesful selections or SR's?

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  #10  
Old 25th October 2004, 06:41 PM
thetout thetout is offline
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You want to watch out the Fav,s have a bad habit of BITING.
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