that's actually really hard man. 0.5 of a point cost you the win. My bookmaker's handicap was -7.5 so I would've won if I made that bet..

you see how "value" can be good if it wins but when it loses what good is it. Notice the 3 predictions I made all won. Easy money. Just play it safe and avoid the exotics your balance will be better.

another "easy money" selection at 1.15 is Carlos Moya to beat Mardy Fish.

I wouldn't consider taking the spread as EXOTIC, but I'll stick to what I know works.

I wasn't the one who bet 4 times what you had lost in 11 months JUST to get back even. That's just crazy, exactly why Dr. said what he said.

Anyway, I'm glad you won. I don't like to see people lose. But you will never make any real money if you only bet on $1.15-$1.40 favourites.

Have you wondered why you were down after 11 months of the year? Just take a look at you "Winning Streak" threads.

Just trying to help, as I have done exactly what you are doing now in the past (eg $1.10 bets on Brisbane +39.5pts at the Gabba vs West Coast)

i wont mention this topic again. As much as I've not been a fan of "Dr. Pangloss" and his harsh comments in the past, I agree with him here.

ok Northerly, I didn't mean to stir and sorry if I did. Your bet deserved to win but was unlucky not to.

I haven't been betting since January, actually since May. So 7 months I lost $500 in.

I won't bet $2000 on any other things, I just backed Bayern to make sure I was ahead of the bookmaker. Now I am ahead since I've been backing short prices more regularly.

I appreciate your help.. and just out of curiosity, was Brisbane +39.5 at $1.10??? I would've thought $1.85.

I don't just back short odds, like last night I backed AZ Alkmaar at $2.10 and Benfica at $1.55.

I don't believe a price has to be short to win.. they're just generally more likely to. And my predictions above are evidence of this.

Best of luck to you, my friend.

That bet on Brisbane was for them to NOT lose by 39.5pts, hence the short price.

A couple of my friends and I put in a $100 each and bet the bank each week on those type of bets on the footy and got it up to about $500, so we had a good run going but it only took 1 bet to lose it. When the bank got to $600 we were going to bet 80% of the bank, but we never got there.

We got the idea from my friends workmate who turned $100 into $2000 (or so) but betting all up on $1.15 shots in the footy 2 years ago.

Anyway, we lost so not sure if we'll try it again. Even if we bet 80% we would of taken ages to get back to where we started.

Good to see that you do bet on those others.

Good punting over the weekend