Yes he has. I thinked he has realised from all the stats saying that the top few in the mkt dominate the winners circle, one must bet on these in order to make regular profits. If you're only looking at horses that win less than 20% of races, you can have a long run of outs. Sometimes the fav in pre-post mkts can drift out to $10 on race day. Plenty of value there!!

[quote] from Equine Investor:

"The odds will not be great on these horses but they range from odds -on to $10.00 with the average being about $4.00. The strike rate is very high approaching above the 70% mark providing you stick to the rules!"




Approaching above the 70% mark!!
Clear as daylight.
What absolute bollocks.
$4 avg and a strike rate near 70%???

That's 180% POT.

"Short memory, must have a short memory"
You're not familar with the Midnight Oil song I take it.

REPLY: You obviously misunderstood my posting, as did amateur. Obviously you can't get 70% winners.

70% of races are won by:

1. 1,2, or 3 saddlecloth.
2. last start winner
3. top three jockeys on the premiership table.

Not necessarily all together.

Bollocks!

You clearly said approaching above the 70% mark provided you stick to the rules.
Well this bloke stuck to the rules and guess what?? He's struggling.

I've never heard so many excuses for bad advice.

100% of winners have 4 legs - should people back every horse with 4 legs?

[ This Message was edited by: chief on 2002-06-26 16:56 ]

No - but I certainly wouldn't back any that only have 3 legs!

Each way bets for Dem voters.
Nat voters - on the nose.
Lib voters - Dutch book.
One Nation - all-ups.
Exactas for the left wing intellectuals.
Hardcore Labor voters - "Nah, the dogs mate--"

Elections...... a two horse race in which the newspaper tipsters promote the inevitable loser into pre-post favouritism.

Elections are like Flemington when the rail's out ten metres ....... None of the contenders run true to form.

Elections........ Even when you pick the winner, you never see a dividend. :smile:

__________________
EVERYONE'S A WINNER!!!

Anybody out there who can "actually" give us a figure- strike rate- for:

1. Last start winner, AND
2. Saddlecloth 1,2 or 3, AND
3. Ridden by one of top three jocks in the state, AND
4. Excluding roulette races like swimming tracks... slow/heavy, and once a quarter country meets...

Top three jocks will be a bit difficult as it should be for the time of the race... not that it varies that drastically over short periods!

Perhaps just apply this for the past month or three... Of course if I had the knowledge and means, I would run a check on diff class races, set weights, distances, etc etc etc. One could end up with a few diff "systems" or "selection methods" to keep in mind...

As a newcomer like Hermes, I appreciate any "researched" and "experential" information- as some people have generously shared with us already.

Thanks to you all!