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#11
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Quote:
The biggest problem is price difference between tab and betfair, the price a runner is paying on the tab does have a relation to it's exotic payout, the difference between that price and the lay price can be quite significant and the further away from the fav the larger the difference, if you had a way of manipulating the market to bring the lay price closer to the tab win price then you could create a near risk free market.
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#12
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The other option is also to use websites who offer 'best of' on exotics - although I have no clue if any or how many do this anymore. I know at one stage some bookies had best of or paid out the middle of 2 jurisdiction quaddies etc.
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#13
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I just had a thought UB, couldn't you have the 'Field' race be any of the 4 legs that you want? I understand you prefer it to be the last leg so you can hedge with the approximates but surely it also makes sense to identify the roughest leg of the quaddie and make that your 'field' leg.
So you could do the last strategy on the first leg, your horse wins so quaddie remains alive, field 2nd leg so no laying required, then follow the lay strategy 3rd leg, and lets say it wins again you could then just lay your last selection appropriately in the last yeh? |
#14
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The best thing about the last leg as the field is that you can lay off those that will pay above your profit. You can see the payouts when only one leg is left. |
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