OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

#2731

20th February 2013, 12:31 PM

grizzle

Member

Join Date: Oct 2012

Posts: 2,233

Quote:

Originally Posted by Raystef5845

Hello everyone. It's been awhile. Super 15 is starting, or at least four Ausie teams are starting. This will be my 19th year of providing predicitons and advice on how to use the predictions for smart gambling (attached to the uploaded predictions).

Over the last 18 years using Half-Kelley, profit on turnover has averaged 13%. I always mention that it takes about four full weeks for the system to update from last season's ratings so it's important to bet conservatively for four weeks.

Good luck with week 1 (more like week 1/3).

Ray Stefani

Thanks Ray, look forward to Week 2 predictions

#2732

20th February 2013, 05:45 PM

Raystef5845 Raystef5845 is offline

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Join Date: Jan 2005

Posts: 641

Super 15 week 2 (or is it 1.5)

This info got hiddden under Super 15 week 1, so it's a good thing I decided to put this where you can find it. It's been pointed out that there are changes to a number of teams, as always happens between seasons. The system reacts very quickly in the first four weeks to "catch up". That's why I suggest betting very cautiously at first.
After only two matches last week, here is the full slate of predictions for this week. I started the new Southern Kings with last year's ratings for the Lions. We'll need to see if that's right. The bookies favour the Western Force. I have the S. Kings favoured based on last year's ratings for the Lions. We'll see what shakes out. The system will make big changes if the Southern Kings or any other teams dissapoint.

Good luck with week 1+

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super 15 Week 2.doc (32.0 KB, 144 views)

#2733

21st February 2013, 04:43 AM

kiwiz

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

6 Nations
Italy up against Wales
Taking Wales

#2734

21st February 2013, 04:45 AM

kiwiz

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

6 Nations
England up against France
Taking England

#2735

21st February 2013, 04:47 AM

kiwiz

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Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

6 Nations
Scotland up against Ireland
Taking Ireland

#2736

21st February 2013, 06:29 PM

rhino82

Member

Join Date: May 2012

Posts: 3,070

Quote:

Originally Posted by rhino82

Hi Ray,

Early feel on how some teams might stack-up this year compared to last year? i.e. could expect significant improvement or may not do as well
e.g. Chiefs without some 10 players from last years lineup (including Sonny Bill Williams) , Stormers missing around 9 players, Sharks almost unchanged etc

Bringing this forward Ray, just in case you've missed my post

#2737

22nd February 2013, 06:31 AM

kiwiz

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

S15
Hurricanes up against Blues
Taking Hurricanes h2h & +3.5 pyol

#2738

22nd February 2013, 03:34 PM

grizzle

Member

Join Date: Oct 2012

Posts: 2,233

Super 15
Highlanders v Chiefs
Chiefs to win (+7.5 $1.44)

#2739

23rd February 2013, 05:01 AM

kiwiz

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

Pro12
Cardiff Blues up against Connacht
Taking Cardiff Blues h2h

#2740

23rd February 2013, 05:05 AM

kiwiz

Member

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Auckland

Posts: 21,349

Pro12
Glasgow Warriors up against Ulster
Taking Ulster +12.5 handicap

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