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  #1  
Old 6th October 2005, 11:32 AM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crash

Oh boy, I need a holiday.



Ah.... something I can agree with.
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  #2  
Old 6th October 2005, 08:52 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
There is more to this than simply the odds, there is the confidence factor as well. One is more likely to make a sound decision when having the first bet of the day, than when chasing a deep loss.

The only evidence lies in the number of times a punter was ahead for the day and gave it all back by betting more.

My goodness gracious me!
This man has hit the nail on the head.
If only I had the willpower to walk out of a tote or track after 13 minutes.
Remember that we are all experiencing entertainment at our pursuit as well.
If Kenchar gets off prematurely good luck to him.
I'm more of a stayer
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  #3  
Old 5th October 2005, 07:58 PM
bluetown bluetown is offline
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Carsh, is right if you look at it from his mathematical point of view.

There was a current affairs segment on how to consistantly win those free prizes you enter from various newspapers and magazines. Those cut-outs.

All promotional stuff, but it showed if the numbers are played right, you actualy can win these free prizes.

How ?
Let's say there was a free competition to win a washing machine.
Then there is another free competition to win a the latest wiz-bang PC
And lets say there are 10 more of these various free competitions.
Each of these promotional competitions require you to fill out the usual name,address, age,favorite color, star sighn etc etc etc. cut it out and snail-mail it by dead-line close date.

The trick with the niumbers side of things is , NOT to enter the same competition as many times as possible, but to enter as many competitions as possible, ONCE.
So if there are 10 competitions, all free to enter chances are you will be in front by winning a prize from one of the draws.
But you won't win if you enter the same draw 100 times.

Same principle, ain't it ?
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  #4  
Old 5th October 2005, 09:40 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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"Fuzzy Logic" isn't that a bit contradictory.

I remember when the warm fuzzies came out - some moron's idea of warming up to the customer.


Shouldn't it be Crystal Logic or Clear Logic?, no - a double entendre Fuzzy meaning customer friendly or easy to use logic.

Next time I'm at the optometrist and view an eyechart, I'll tell them it's fuzzy (meaning easy to read) and walk out wearing Mr. Magoo glasses
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  #5  
Old 6th October 2005, 11:30 AM
KennyVictor KennyVictor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bluetown
So if there are 10 competitions, all free to enter chances are you will be in front by winning a prize from one of the draws.
But you won't win if you enter the same draw 100 times.

Same principle, ain't it ?


No it ain't. Your analogy argues that to bet on lots of horses in the same race would be bad but that to bet on one horse in lots of different races is good. Crash isn't that clear in what he's on about but I think his (original) argument was about one horse per race. Of course the thrust of what he (meant to say) said may change as he works his way around his original blunder.

KV

Last edited by KennyVictor : 6th October 2005 at 11:33 AM.
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  #6  
Old 6th October 2005, 11:36 AM
BJ BJ is offline
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So Crash, using your logic:

There is a greater chance that you are right, because you are the only one that agrees with what you are saying.
Because there are many of us that disagree with your logic, we are probably wrong.

Well whatever makes you happy.
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  #7  
Old 6th October 2005, 08:56 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BJ
So Crash, using your logic:

There is a greater chance that you are right, because you are the only one that agrees with what you are saying.
Because there are many of us that disagree with your logic, we are probably wrong.

Well whatever makes you happy.

The truth is the truth buddy.
Don't matter whether one or a million an' one agree!
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  #8  
Old 7th October 2005, 06:32 AM
crash crash is offline
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Kenny,
A negative market is a negative market. If you are one of the lucky ones and are winning in it. The only reason you would be doing so is that you are smart enough to make it a positive one for yourself and have joined the 5% of very smart punters. If everyone is a winner, where does the profit come from ? The negative market the other 95% of punters belong too of course.

In reply to syllabus snide comment about how do I know how many bets pro punter's have, You obviously haven't heard of the Ausrace forum. A lot of big bet pro punters there. I wouldn't hold your breath waiting for an invite from another member to join though so you can post. It's an em forum but I think you can [still?] view the banter on site [you might learn something].

Angel417
quote::"wHATS THE USE?
GIVE UP CRASH,i CERTAINLY HAVE.
aS MY MY DEAR OLD DEPARTED DAD USED TO SAY,YOU CANT EDUCATE MUGS"

Great advise.

Well there are few of smart cookies here who get my point [boy, it wasn't that difficult]. The rest of you Flat Earther's can sod off back into La La land and I hope all your winning bet tickets [if any] get put through the wash :-)

Last edited by crash : 7th October 2005 at 06:38 AM.
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