#21
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![]() No pp odds for Devonport except R2 and no pp odds Ipswiich.
DEVONPORT R2 AT ST. GEORGE GEELONG R6/6 CONISTON GEM R7/1 FEARLESS WATERS* R8/5 STRADDLES* *Might be worth a win bet too. |
#22
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![]() Better late than never:
DEVONPORT R6/2 SAHARA STAR R8/1 ACTIONPACKJACKSON IPSWICH R4/4 DANERIDGE R5/2 COMANACA R6/1 SWEET RANSOM R7/1 DISCOINTICA |
#23
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![]() Overall Outlay 32 units. Return 33.38. Profit 1.38 units. Needs a bit of a lift
Crash, that's 4.31% POT, and would be considered by a lot of "clever people" as VERY GOOD!! i.e. 1000 bets a year of $2000 = $2,000,000 x 4.31%= 86 grand not bad.......... |
#24
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![]() Thanks for the votes Party :-)
Not a good result today. I should have included Ipswich R1 and R2, both winners. DEVONPORT R2 AT ST. GEORGE R6/2 SAHARA STAR [w$6.50/p$2.80] R8/1 ACTIONPACKJACKSON GEELONG R6/6 CONISTON GEM [w$4.50/p$1.90] R7/1 FEARLESS WATERS* R8/5 STRADDLES* IPSWICH R4/4 DANERIDGE R5/2 COMANACA [p$1.42] R6/1 SWEET RANSOM R7/1 DISCOINTICA w11units. Return on p = 5.12 units. Loss on place 4.88 units. Starting to look good as a win system perhaps[?]. Anyway, it's wide open until I work out some rules that will increase the place SR for sure, not what I think will work. |
#25
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![]() Quote:
Gday Crash the removal of a selection for the place because of 6 runners intrigues me.. Why is it not a bet... they pay a win and 2 places for a 6 horse field.. Isn't the dividend better when only paying two place divvies? The pool is divided by 2 instead of 3?.. This is a genuine question, coz I see lotsa people flick 7 and 6 horse fields, but to me that doesnt make lotsa sense.. To my way of thinking if you find a place getter in these circumstances the rewards are higher... |
#26
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![]() Crash, Here's a place system that might be worthwile, I have been working on it for a while, and opened a seperate TAB account to run it on small bets to see how it goes, will keep you updated.
NO form odds only.
Cheers. |
#27
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![]() Quote:
Yep, Yep. Yep XP, I [now] totally agree with all you are saying and am going to include these small field races. Thanks. |
#28
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![]() Hi Kenchar,
Good results but what is the actual system ["Here's a place system that might be worthwhile"] your recommending, or are you just posting results? Cheers, Crash |
#29
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![]() I have now adjusted the rules but as always they are a guide.
Considering the amount of races on Sat. I'm thinking of adding: Must have a win or place in one of the runners last 2 starts or perhaps a min. place SR [?] PLACE THE RULE-FITTING FAVORITE SYSTEM Any day except Sunday or night and public holiday meetings. Ignore Cups, Hurdles, Maidens, 2yr olds and Stakes races. Distances: any to 2050m only and in 'good' conditions only. 1. select the PP favorite. 2. must not be second up. 3. Ignore horse over 6 yrs. 5. must have raced within the last 18 days. 6. do not back females against males [unless her name starts with Macka:-)] 7. must have at least placed at the distance [or within 50m from it] 9. if the PP favorite fits the above it's a Place bet. 10.if the favorite doesn't fit the rules move on to the second favorite etc. 11.if more than 1 horse is on the 2nd fav. line, the lower TAB No. is 2nd. etc. 12.ignore the race if one of the first 4 PP favorites doesn't fit the rules. Interestingly I tried out the basic system last Monday night for awhile on the Greyhounds for something to do. AIS: GREYS GO WILD COSMO ANGLE PARK Race 11 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 37.00 W 27/03/2006 8:30:50 PM 340200D10A-2464449 GREYS BLACK FANTASY WENTWORTH PK Race 8 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD -50.00 L 27/03/2006 8:29:07 PM B402002191-2464435 GREYS RUBBER SOUL ALBION PARK Race 7 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 26.50 W 27/03/2006 8:27:34 PM 720200A29A-2464410 GREYS BRANDEEN NICK ANGLE PARK Race 10 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 10.50 W 27/03/2006 8:14:55 PM DAF10881E3-2464226 GREYS OUR BETTE WENTWORTH PK Race 7 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 31.50 W 27/03/2006 8:13:05 PM FAF10840EB-2464198 GREYS POSSUM JENKINS ALBION PARK Race 6 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 25.00 W 27/03/2006 8:03:08 PM 66F1005088-2464077 GREYS COBALT IZMIR ANGLE PARK Race 9 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 63.50 W 27/03/2006 8:02:04 PM D4F1005371-2464069 GREYS DOLLY MINT WENTWORTH PK Race 6 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 20.70 W 27/03/2006 7:56:58 PM 92F100A2E2-2464003 GREYS BITA CRAZY ALBION PARK Race 5 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 48.00 W 27/03/2006 7:47:08 PM 8EE1089202-2463871 GREYS BLACK REWARD ANGLE PARK Race 8 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 16.00 W 27/03/2006 7:45:07 PM 1EE108F002-2463850 GREYS FAITHFUL LOVE WENTWORTH PK Race 5 50.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 32.00 W 27/03/2006 7:28:07 PM 16E10083A5-2463681 GREYS ELITE LILLY WENTWORTH PK Race 4 70.00 IAS-SP Place AUD 30.00 W 27/03/2006 7:06:46 PM 40E100639E-2463503 GREYS ELVIS WENTWORTH PK Race 3 60.00 IAS-SP Place AUD -60.00 L A lucky night I think as I noted the bets for Tuesday Greyhounds for a few tracks but didn't bet them. I would have lost badly:-) Maybe Mobnday nights is the way to go[?] Last edited by crash : 30th March 2006 at 06:42 AM. |
#30
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![]() Crash,
Excellent results, but my own belief after a few years betting place is that you have to work to a minimum price of $2, if you want long term profitability. Those prices you have there are fine IF you can continue the strike rate, but as we all know it is racing after all and we all know what happens. Cheers |
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