#21
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![]() I definitely agree that the market over penalises the outside barriers.
I have numerous systems that take advantage of this fact. Good Luck. |
#22
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![]() Quote:
Im with Marcus ****** ![]() |
#23
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![]() ROT = Return on Turnover
99% = 1% loss (or LOT) 100% = break even 101% = 1% profit (or POT) Good Luck. |
#24
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![]() Muchus clearer now
thanx wes |
#25
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![]() Pure sttrike rates for each barrier wont tell you much on their own. You have to take into account the number of horses in each race as well. For example barrier 15 at track x may have a very poor s/r as against barrier 1, however the horses from barrier 15 will have at least 14 others aginst it whereas horses from barrier 1 may only have another 3 or 4 in some races. So the average number of horses in a race will average about 10, whereas in races where barrier 15 is involved may average 16 or 17 therefore producing an incorrect bias. The inside barriers will still come out better overall but not as significant as what some people think.
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#26
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![]() Dr RON,
What you want to know is what percentage higher than average is the barrier winning for each field size combination. Also some peoples stats don't take into consideration scratchings which were inside the barrier assigned to the horse and tihs can give misleading stats. Barriers can be analysed a fair bit and the usual result is the lower the barrier(1-4) the higher the strike rate but the higher the barrier (10+) the higher the ROT. Mind you the barrier has less effect on longer races and also on races with less runners (less then 12) in regard to strike rate. Last edited by wesmip1 : 18th September 2006 at 09:18 PM. |
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