Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Racing
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 21st July 2008, 02:28 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Yes, my results are based on the assumption that a $1 level stake has been bet on every selection, but any amount can be bet.

The only reason I've nominated a $1 bet is for the convenience when recording the results.

Even dutching all selections I believe would more or less get the same result. For example, yesterday the method had 5 races and the winner was struck in all of them but only produced a profit of $0.90 betting the nominal $1 on all the selections. And today Wellington R6 which has just been run and won produced a loss of $1.60 with a $1 bet on all the six selections, but if dutched for a target of $10 then the race would have produced a profit of approx $2.66 when the 5% commission is deducted.

Its the swings and roundabouts scenario with level or dutch betting, but I bet level stakes because I find it easier to do so, and also easier to record the results.


Edit - Murwillumbah R5 has just been run and won. I snared the winner at $15.50 which has produced inxs of a 100% POT - dutching would not have given such a high POT.

Last edited by michaelg : 21st July 2008 at 02:33 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 22nd July 2008, 08:44 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A very bad day yesterday - one winner from the three races for a loss of $9.20.

There have now been 294 selections for a POT of 3.60%.

Today's selections:

Geelong:
Race 5 nos. 2, 4, 5, 6, 9, 11

Taree:
Race 6 nos. 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 10

Outlay of $20.


Neural Method.

A good day yesterday - a profit of $9.50.

There have now been 126 selections for a POT of 58%.

Today's selections:

Geelong:
Race 5 nos. 2, 5, 7, 11, 14

Taree:
Race 6 nos. 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 12
Race 7 nos. 1, 4, 6, 7, 10, 13.

Outlay of $17.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 23rd July 2008, 11:24 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Another losing day yesterday for a loss of $6.40.

There have now been 314 selections for a POT of 1.96%. If it goes into the red I'll have to go back to the drawing board.

Today's selections:

Bendigo:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 11, 13

Eagle Farm:
Race 7 nos. 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 11, 15
Race 8 nos. 2, 4, 5, 9, 10, 11, 14

Gosford:
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9

Belmont:
Race 10 nos. 1, 2, 4, 7, 11, 12, 13, 14

Outlay of $38


Neural Method.

A terrible day yesterday - no winners from the 3 races for a loss of $17

There have now been 143 selections for a 39.23% POT.

Today's selections:

Bendigo:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11

Eagle Farm:
Race 7 nos. 3, 4, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 11

Gosford:
Race 8 nos. 1, 4, 7, 8, 10, 11, 17

Belmont:
Race 6 nos. 1, 3, 4, 5, 7, 11
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 4, 7, 10, 12, 13
Race 10 nos. 6, 7, 9, 12, 13, 14, 16

Outlay of $48.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 24th July 2008, 10:34 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A profit of $3.80 yesterday.

There have now been 352 selections for a POT of 2.27%.

Today's selections:

Cranbourne:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 9
Race 7 nos. 1, 3, 4, 7, 10

Wagga:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 7, 8, 10
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9

Outlay of $24.


Neural Method:

A win of $24.80 yesterday.

There have now been 188 selections for a POT of 43.03%.

No selections today.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 25th July 2008, 10:25 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

I am discontinuing the normal method as it has now dipped into the red.

However, I'll persist with the Neural Method as it has been performing quite well.

Today's selections:

Geelong:
Race 6 nos. 3, 6, 7, 10, 11, 12
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 9
Race 8 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12

Canberra:
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 4, 7, 10, 11

Total outlay of $24.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 26th July 2008, 10:52 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A good day yesterday - a profit of $5.90.

There have now been 209 selections for a POT of 41.53%.

Unfortunately the neural website is up to its old tricks again - I cannot currently access it.


Edit - I've finally been able to get into the website.

Today's selections:

Canterbury:
Race 5 nos. 4, 5, 6, 7, 12

Dombeen:
Race 2 nos. 1, 2, 9, 10, 12
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9

Moonee Valley:
Race 4 nos. 1, 2, 3, 7, 12, 13, 14
Race 7 nos. 1, 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 17

Cheltenham:
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 4, 5, 7

Belmont:
Race 9 nos. 1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 13, 15

Townsville:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 13, 15, 16
Race 8 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 17.

Outlay of $58.

Last edited by michaelg : 26th July 2008 at 11:19 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 27th July 2008, 10:10 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Unfortunately I forgot that Saturday racing is not in the method - see last Saturday's thread for confirmation of this. As it was, yesterday would have been a serious losing day which was not surprising.

Today's selections:

Sun Coast:
Race 4 nos. 2, 3, 4, 6, 9, 12

Moruya:
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 8, 9
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 4, 6, 10

Scone:
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 12
Race 9 nos. 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 14

Benalla:
Race 9 nos. 1, 5, 9, 12, 13, 15

Ballarat:
Race 8 nos. 6, 7, 9, 11, 15, 16

Outlay of $39.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 28th July 2008, 10:30 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

A win yesterday of $2.70.

Interestingly, there have now been 40 races for 19 successful quinellas for a profit of over $400.

Today's selections:

Port Macquarie:
Race 5 nos. 2, 3, 7, 8, 13, 14
Race 7 nos. 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 12

Mildura:
Race 8 nos. 1, 3, 4, 7, 9, 10, 11
Race 9 nos. 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 13, 15

Dubbo:
Race 1, 2, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11.
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 29th July 2008, 10:51 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,790
Wink

Yesterday resulted in a loss of $3.60. Boxed quinellas a profit of $35.

There have now been 276 selections for a POT of 31.12%.

Today's selections:

Wyong:
Race 5 nos. 1, 2, 3, 6, 10, 12
Race 6 nos. 1, 2, 3, 4, 9
Race 8 nos. 2, 3, 5, 9, 11

Geelong:
Race 7 nos. 1, 2, 8, 10, 12
Race 9 nos. 4, 6, 7, 11, 14

Outlay of $26.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 29th July 2008, 11:05 AM
Crackone Crackone is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 368
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Boxed quinellas a profit of $35.
What quinella would that be?
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 03:59 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655