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  #21  
Old 24th August 2008, 09:56 AM
Mancunian Mancunian is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Betting 5 horses a race.

Target first 5 in Pre-post market.

.Fav must be $3.00+ in the live market.

.One or more selections must be $12.00+

.Bet 2 units on the Fav & 1 unit on all the others.

.Total O/L 6 units

Had a look at this on Sat Metro meetings. couldn't get one in the top 5 over $12 pre-post and not on Betfair but followed the other rules.

Result was : 14 qualifying races
Outlay $84.00
Return $83.60 !!

(time for that old quote again - gee I'm glad I broke even - I could use the money !)

Another one on the brink of success ?

Cheers......Mancunian
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  #22  
Old 24th August 2008, 06:04 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Not bad Mancunian, considering it was never designed to be used where value cant be had in a given market .

There is a reason for the $12.00 rule, ignor this rule & one will find that one will break even .
Which is not a bad thing , it's just not the objective of the exercise.

Try & keep in mind that it is just one day , not a polarization of what happens every day, if it did breaks even, every day, one would be able to use any progression on it, and make a fortune.

Problem is easily solved though, just use ones own judgment & delete one runner that is not going to win, out of the 5 & bingo , in profit.

Outlay of ...5 units a race over 4 horses a race x 14 race = 70 units.
Ret 83.60
+13.60 Prof
+19.4% POT


One should be laughing like a Hyena, just don't delete the wrong horse, easy.

Cheers.
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  #23  
Old 24th August 2008, 06:54 PM
Mancunian Mancunian is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
One should be laughing like a Hyena, just don't delete the wrong horse, easy.

"Aye, there's the rub"
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  #24  
Old 25th August 2008, 01:07 PM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Heres another approach for targeting races where the Fav is $2.40-2.90

Theres some real value to be had with this approach.

.Bet 2.50 units on the fav.
.Bet 1 unit on 3 others.

Total 5.50 units accross 4 horses a race.

Cheers.
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