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#21
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Best system is
1) Discard horses who won last start 2) Discard horses coming off a spell 3) Horse must be in top 5 newspaper ratings 4) Horse must be top 5 in betting. 5) Horse must be $15 or less in newspaper betting 6) Horse must not have a weight shift of +3kg or -3kg or more from last start 7) Horse must of placed at distance and track before |
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#22
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Mr Quaddie, I agree with most of that but because of rule no. 2 you would have to rule out all races of 1200m or less as the majority are won by first uppers (after a spell).
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#23
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that system is going to be subjective based on the newspaper used and the quality of the tipsters (also depends on definition of a spell) but I ran it and found it lost 11% on turnover.
Good Luck |
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#24
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Quote:
Add 1 more rule of INCLUDE only those who have at least two career wins and it shows a loss of 3%. Only include those who jump as favourite (or under $3 if dual favs) and it shows a 4% profit with a 48% strike rate. All Prices are Unitab. Good Luck Last edited by wesmip1 : 12th January 2009 at 05:28 PM. |
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#25
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add rule "Raced within the last 10 days"
and you get a 17% profit with a 55% strike rate but only approix 80 bets a year. Good Luck. |
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#26
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Great stuff Wes. as usual, very interesting!
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