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#21
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Have you checked to see if it would be better to lay to a fixed stake or a fixed liability
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One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ |
#22
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Shaun,
I lay the same amount per horse and am hoping to increase over time. Fixed liability might work. |
#23
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First day of testing i only used 10c lay stakes to be sure my bot works, had some problem with Geelong with VFG i was getting no data for the races.
Total Lays 78 Wins 62 Accidents 16 S/R 79.5% Loss -$3.70
__________________
One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ |
#24
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I ran a comparison between $5 fixed stake or $100 fixed liability for todays results for me.
$5 fixed stake max price $20 -$189.15 $100 fixed liability max price $20 $190.25
__________________
One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ Last edited by Shaun : 15th July 2010 at 05:56 PM. |
#25
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Shaun,
Look at todays results and anaylse it by price range.... what do you notice ? I suggest splitting it into the following categories: Under $5 $5-$7 $7-10 $10-15 $15-$20 $20-$40 $40 - $100 $100+ You should see a trend in where the profitable lays are. For instance I came out $127 in front today where as you showed a loss. It may make you rethink your max price $20.... Last edited by wesmip1 : 15th July 2010 at 07:37 PM. |
#26
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The $20 rule was what you have worked on.
Quote:
I added the betsheet from today.
__________________
One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ Last edited by Shaun : 15th July 2010 at 07:48 PM. |
#27
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Ive opened it up a bit in the last week as my bank has increased as Ive looked at the results and slowly taken it out. My minimum price is now $7 and max is $40. I found all the shorts were just going nowhere and sitting on breakeven or a small loss after commission...
I came to the conclusion that the fav-longshot bias actually worked if you stick to this method and go for the longer priced horses. I still make a good profit in the $7-$20 range, but anythign under $7 is not worth it. If you check your results you should see a similar pattern. |
#28
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I just had a look through my account and I had 58 Bets under $20 today for a loss of $72. Yesterday I had 89 selections for a profit of $165.25.
ie these were all in the range $7-$20. |
#29
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I had a look at my selections for the 7-20 range with 33 selections and showed a $4.37 loss for today so i guess our selections may be a bit different
__________________
One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ |
#30
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I am still testing with small stakes but using your $5 amount up to $20 showed a loss for me today of $144 i made a change on my sheet and am taking a fixed liability of $100 also showed a loss but of only $81.
using a personal liability of $2 i was down $1.62 after comm Strike rate today was 67 bets 54 win 13 accidents similar to yesterday of 80%
__________________
One Drive "If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere." "If they need you , they will soon find out." "If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee _______________________________________________ |
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