Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:22 PM
Tipsy Tipsy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 42
Default

I wouldn't mind an answer to my premise that newspaper ratings, the top rated horse, have an abysmal record. And I believe that the
Herald Sun uses one of the better ratings services, the name which escapes me at the moment. I do have a bias against ratings but I would welcome those who believe in ratings putting up a decent argument for them, maybe including some data.

Some of the top rated horses are double figure odds ..... How can that be?
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:24 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Smile

@ $1.95 to take out $500 I will have $256 on it and the 5 @$6.50 I will have $77
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:29 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,457
Default

Not that mine are the best, but lets see.

No Selection R/Price
3 SECOND OBSESSION 2.32
2 JUPITER 4.20

I don't rate the 5 in the top 3 my next best is No1
__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
_______________________________________________

Last edited by Shaun : 7th August 2015 at 02:31 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:30 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,425
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tipsy
I recall Shane Dye saying if he was a punter he would only have one bet each year on the favourite in the Golden Slipper. Not sure how that would have gone, but the comment was interesting.


I recall Dye saying exactly that, but it was in reference to the Cox Plate.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:42 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Thumbs up

Quite a nice profit there of $167 / ROI 33.4 %
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:52 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Smile

Hi Chrome,
For me I would put $20 a week away until the Melbourne Cup then spread it between 5 Horses.

In general I have found that if a horse has not at least done 2800 then I can put a line straight through them.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 7th August 2015, 02:58 PM
Tipsy Tipsy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 42
Default

darkydog, you've sort of ************ed up the potential of this thread .....
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 7th August 2015, 03:20 PM
Tipsy Tipsy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 42
Default

BTW darkydog, your (fantasy) bet shows a return of 50% not 33% as you calculated.

You hijacked this thread and refused to answer my question about ratings.

Funny on this very same thread you posted ..... "By the way. Isn,t it great that we are finally coming back to sharing Handicapping ideas like we used to do. The last couple of years I,ve felt we have been taken over by fantasy posts."

What's the point of anyone posting anything here when you come on and tell us all how good you are !!, twice in the same post "I'm a successful punter"..... I'll go, you stay!
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 7th August 2015, 03:29 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Thumbs down

Ok with me if you want to go.
You appear to just want to create trouble anyway.
I,m well over that thanks very much.

I,m only hear to share what works for me.

Last edited by darkydog2002 : 7th August 2015 at 03:31 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 7th August 2015, 05:10 PM
garyf garyf is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 366
Thumbs up

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tipsy
I wouldn't mind an answer to my premise that newspaper ratings, the top rated horse, have an abysmal record. And I believe that the
Herald Sun uses one of the better ratings services, the name which escapes me at the moment. I do have a bias against ratings but I would welcome those who believe in ratings putting up a decent argument for them, maybe including some data.

Some of the top rated horses are double figure odds ..... How can that be?



Not that mine are the best, but lets see.

No Selection R/Price
3 SECOND OBSESSION 2.32 (W-2.0)
2 JUPITER 4.20 (2ND S/P $9.0)

I don't rate the 5 in the top 3 my next best is No1

The five ran unplaced.

Guess that answers the question(s) above.

Cheers.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:22 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655