I know its off topic but just for a comparrison .
If you go to ANY major soccer league in England and Europe you will find these figures give or take a %point or two
Home wins 44%
Away wins 28%
Draw 28%
and that is consistent even going back a few years.
You get some odd figures if you start digging round say 3rd div teams and some
weaker leagues .
Have we got any consistency of figures say in AFL or NRL

I'd have to dig around to find out,because i never gave it much thought, but someone else may know of a site that has info on the NRL and AFL.
I use soccer stats.com for PL, which has those percentages, which is probably where you get yours from.

Yep

The COLLINGWOOD 1-19 point bet ($4.65 return) won - Collingwood won by 18 points - but it is only a consolation for the other $80 that i lost. i only bet $7 on this bet so the return is just $27.9, but if I had bet my other $80 as well I'd be sitting on just over $400.

Which is a more solid sounding bet...
Brisbane to beat Port Adelaide by 1-19 points or 20-39 points?

What are the prices? The result my system has produced for this match falls in the Bris by 1-19.

Think the previous encounters Port v Lions have been close affairs (even at the Gabba)...

Last 4 encounters:
pt adel by 6 in adel,[lions$1.50/pt$2.40]
br lions by 56 in bris[lions$1.20/pt$4.50]*
br lions by 10 in adel[lions$1.40/pt$2.70]*
pt adel by 1 in bris[lions$1.80/pt$1.90]*

* night game
[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-06-05 12:10 ]

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-06-05 12:12 ]

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-06-05 12:13 ]

collingwood -5.5 a few heart murmurs but won
essendon -28.5 fell in by 74 points
adelaide -22.5,up by 29 at quarter time and 25 at three quarter time,well you would think your safe but no.adelaide for banned list,got my vote

Mr J
On another thread,amongst your information was Port Adelaide +26.5 points.
If your system predicts Brisbane between 1-19 "what the?"

Cheers Mo.