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  #21  
Old 27th August 2004, 10:53 AM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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Some of the teams i think will win are under the odds and i wont be backing,looking at different betting options instead, picked out 10 teams, 6 AFL and 4 NRL teams and all up is just over $6 thats not much value for 10 winners and all it takes is 1 upset and you get zilch. Looked at:

BULLDOGS TRY
ROOSTERS TRY
@ $2.94 , as better value.
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  #22  
Old 27th August 2004, 11:38 AM
sportznut sportznut is offline
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Quote:
On 2004-08-27 09:35, jakelee wrote:
Well, someone thinks the Sharks are a good bet.


Hope they're right, for the sake of my system. So far this year, my system has not been as successful on League as it has on AFL and Union. It's had 17 wins from 29 bets on NRL, 21 from 30 on AFL and an incredible 16 from 17 on Union!!!


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-08-27 11:45 ]
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  #23  
Old 27th August 2004, 04:58 PM
jakelee jakelee is offline
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Hi Mr J,

Sure, if you're betting on the TAB, the odds ain't so good. I suspect this is probably bookies spreading their risk.

I'd be worried about taking the Sharks!
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  #24  
Old 27th August 2004, 06:07 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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Adam Woolnough, Daniel Abraham and Brock Mueller have been ruled out late this afternoon and Ben Kennedy is battling a bad case of the flu, so the doggies by........................

Normally i wouldnt back the sharks either, but the storm away from home are a different team and sometimes cant beat time with a stick
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  #25  
Old 27th August 2004, 06:27 PM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Quote:
It's had 17 wins from 29 bets on NRL, 21 from 30 on AFL and an incredible 16 from 17 on Union!!!


17/29 is pretty much on par with expectation of home dog performance over the last 3 years.

21/30 is quite a bit higher than you should expect for AFL. 18-12 reflects last 3 years of results.

S12, well what can I say, overall dogs were awesome this year.
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  #26  
Old 27th August 2004, 07:09 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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Sonny Boy Williams and Corey Hughes have just been dropped from the bench for tonights game, but it still doesnt even it up .
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  #27  
Old 28th August 2004, 05:56 AM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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My ratings for today, rounded to closest full number:

Brisbane by 6
Sharks by 0 (Sharks by 0.27)
Parramatta by 6

Souths strength at home has gone up for me. They have put in some good games recently.

Eels have also been in decent form recently, while penrith has been very inconsistent over the last month, being the slaughterer in home games and the slaughteree in away games.

Sharks at home? No thanks. Ah, they're playing Melbourne? I'd still prefer to stay out of it though.
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  #28  
Old 28th August 2004, 09:21 PM
sportznut sportznut is offline
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Well, quite a few people lost some big money on the Sharks tonight.
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  #29  
Old 29th August 2004, 09:37 AM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Yeh I've been pretty hard done by lately. Told you I would've prefered to stay away from the sharks :wink:

Good start yesterday on AFL & NRL, winning the first 2. Then the 3 evening games all lose?? Deja vu. All my betting has been breakeven for 5 weeks now.
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  #30  
Old 29th August 2004, 09:39 AM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Ah yeh.

Warriors +14 at 1.99

Manly +17 at 2.15
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