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19th January 2005, 10:35 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 956
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Zorro yeah I've looked pretty deeply into all of that, have formulated standard sectionals for each track where i can get records of them, and have built methods to adjust for the lack of pace compared to the expected pace for that class, (that is, of course, after you adjust their time and final sectional time for the track speed on the day), and rated them accordingly, and have encountered nothing but headaches. From things like the wind blowing through and between the stands at Caulfield one race and not blowing the next, to rain during the day, to getting out to the centre of the track, to "muddling" run races which are neither quick nor slow but produce anomylous results, to races being slowly run all the way to the 400m pole making 600s meaningless, I have found it to be a case of looking for exactitude in a place where no exactitude exists, and that you're better off rting them on their ability and what they can do, and training your NOUSE to be better at judging horses, the way they run and the way they have been running, then using ratings to separate the wheat from the chaff, framing a market and betting the overs to still - boring as it may be - be the best way.
Duritz.
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