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  #331  
Old 15th February 2005, 10:44 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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No, I think Unitab's ratings are derived basically from a formula similar to the AAP neurals. One thing I've noticed is that a good part of the Unitab rating is based on the horse's best career run, not necessarily it's most recent run, so you sometimes get horses coming out on top in the ratings despite not being in great current form. Can lead to some good price wins though.
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  #332  
Old 17th February 2005, 12:14 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Okay, I know there are two Group 1 races on this week, but they're both small fields and the top chances look fairly obvious. I'm sure most of us would be likely to come up with pretty much the same sort of ratings. So I reckon we should have a go at these two races instead this week:

WARWICK FARM R7-4.30 LIVERPOOL CITY CUP 1200 M ($100000) (GROUP 3)
1 FALKIRK (NZ) John O'Shea G Boss 9 57
2 OSCA WARRIOR Gwenda Markwell J Sheehan 2 56.5
3 TOULOUSE LAUTREC John Hawkes 18 56
4 SPORTSMAN Gregory Hickman N Rawiller 19 55.5
5 BINDING John Hawkes 3 54
6 NIPS Clarry Conners J Innes 14 54
7 PATEZZA Guy Walter H Bowman 6 53.5
8 SAM SUNG A SONG Gerald Ryan S Seamer 8 53.5
9 MUSTARD George Crowley R Graham 13 53
10 ACADEME Guy Walter 1 52.5
11 UTZON Les Bridge R Stewart 11 52
12 BUSH HONEY Guy Walter 12 52
13 PRESENTLY Bruce McLachlan J Ford 4 52
14 AMEX Alan Bailey G Scimone 5 52
15 MR CELEBRITY (NZ) Gai Waterhouse C Munce 17 52
16 MAGIC MARVO Rod Craig 15 52
17 ATHELNOTH Tiger Holland M Bell (a) 7 52
18 BESAME MUCHO Bart Cummings 16 52
19E KID GEORGE Guy Walter 10 52

MORPHETTVILLE R7-4.30 FELTEX CARPETS TOKYO CITY CUP 1600 M ($75500) (GROUP 3)
1 ALMOST NEVER Leon Macdonald Ms C Lindop 5 57
2 SURE BET Mark Minervini P Gatt 9 54.5
3 RATHER GRAND Mick Price J Bowditch 12 54
4 FINNISS D'OR Pat Barns D Carney 11 54
5 GET UP Darryl Dodson Ms H McKechnie (a) 8 54
6 GRUNDY'S CROSSING Barbara Marshman P Mertens 1 54
7 PRAY IN VAIN Stuart Gower 10 54
8 MODERN ERA Brian Mayfield-Smith A Findlay 6 53.5
9 PURE VELOCITY Tony McEvoy A Spiteri 4 53
10 COINTREAU BALL Mark Kavanagh 3 53
11 RADIANT STAR Peter G Moody J Benbow (a) 7 53
12 SHANICITY (NZ) Greg Lesnikowski 2 53

Both of those races should provide a REAL test of our rating methods.

Good luck.
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  #333  
Old 18th February 2005, 12:31 PM
Duritz Duritz is offline
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Nice big fields!! Been a while since I've done form for good old crooked Adelaide.......
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  #334  
Old 18th February 2005, 12:47 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Yep, they'll be a real test. Just getting the winner somewhere in our top 5 will be an effort.
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  #335  
Old 18th February 2005, 02:02 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Warwick Farm Race 7
Binding
Presently
Patezza
Utzon
Besame Mucho

Morphettville Race 7
Finniss D'or
Pure Velocity
Grundy's Crossing
Get Up
Almost Never

A real dinky die challenge
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  #336  
Old 18th February 2005, 03:37 PM
xptdriver xptdriver is offline
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Gday All

Because I won't be around near a computer tomorrow, I have posted 7 runners to cover scratchings... ignore 6 and 7 if none of my selections are scratched

MORPHETTVILLE Race 7
FELTEX CARPETS TOKYO CITY CUP
1 $4.59 ALMOST NEVER
2 $6.12 SURE BET
3 $6.12 RATHER GRAND
5 $8.20 GET UP
4 $10.93 FINNISS D'OR
9 $10.93 PURE VELOCITY
6 $14.34 GRUNDY'S CROSSING

WARWICK FARM Race 7
LIVERPOOL CITY CUP
1 $5.31 FALKIRK
11 $5.31 UTZON
18 $7.08 BESAME MUCHO
5 $9.48 BINDING
7 $12.64 PATEZZA
8 $16.59 SAM SUNG A SONG
15 $16.59 MR CELEBRITY
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  #337  
Old 18th February 2005, 09:06 PM
QuickFunBet QuickFunBet is offline
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Exclamation Ratings Challenge (Feb 19)

Warwick Farm Race 7
5. Binding $6.00
11. Utzon $6.50
1. Falkirk $10.00
2. Osca Warrior $11.00
15. Mr Celebrity $13.00

Morphettville Race 7
2. Sure Bet $4.50
4. Finnis D'Or $7.00
8. Modern Era $9.00
6. Grundy's Crossing $9.50
1.Almost Never $11.00

Thanks,
QFB
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  #338  
Old 19th February 2005, 06:59 AM
the mug the mug is offline
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Hey Sportz
Wont be online till tomorrow arvo, so have thrown in my top 6 in case of a scratching. Mind you for the sydney race i may require a top 17!!!

s7

18 Besame Mucho 2.70
11 Utzon 6.50
7 Patezza 10.0
13 Presently 10.0
15 Mr Celebrity 10.0
9 Mustard 15.0

a7

8 Modern Era 4.30
6 Grundys Crossing 4.30
3 Rather grand 6.50
9 Pure Velocity 8.60
4 Finniss Dor 15.0
2 sure bet 16.0

cheers n good luck
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  #339  
Old 19th February 2005, 07:35 AM
kiwi kiwi is offline
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WF

18. $4.60

8. $ 5.50

4 $ 7.00

7 $ 9.00

11 $ 11.00


Morph

8 $ 3.20

7 $ 3.50

3 $ 6.50

1 $ 9.00

2 $ 11.00
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  #340  
Old 19th February 2005, 08:52 AM
zorro zorro is offline
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SR7
7 Patezza 3.50
11 Utzon 3.90
1 Falkirk 6.20
18 Besame Mucho 10.70
15 Mr Celebrity 12.50

AR7
1 Almost Never 2.70
3 Rather Grand 4.40
2 Sure Bet 7.50
9 Pure Velocity 7.50
4 Finniss D'Or 9.30
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