Now we'll have 7 matches after the short week one of 2 South Africa matches. My odds make it seem like the bookies are looking over my shoulder. Most odds of my from both weeks are very close to the bookies odds.

Remember to be very cautious for the first four weeks while ratings adjust.

Cheers,

Ray

Attached Files

Super 15 Week 2.doc (48.0 KB, 155 views)

They're looking to expand Super Rugby to a 17 sides tournament.
Adding a sixth South African team & a team from Argentina.
The new structure will require approval from the Unions of each country.
Should be interesting to see how Australia & NZ vote.

S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs
Taking Crusaders

S15
Crusaders up against Chiefs
Taking Chiefs +12.5 handicap

French Top 14


ASM Clermont Auvergne v Montpellier

S15
Waratahs up against Force
Taking Waratahs

Aviva Premiership
Saracens up against Exeter Chiefs
Taking Saracens

Aviva Premiership
Newcastle Falcons up against Northampton Saints
Taking Northampton Saints

Chiefs 4.25
Sharks 5.00
Waratahs 5.00
Crusaders 6.00
Reds 10.00
Brumbies 15.00
Stormers 15.00
Blues 21.00
Highlanders 29.00
Cheetahs 29.00
Hurricanes 41.00
Bulls 67.00
Lions 101.00
Rebels 101.00
Force 251.00

To say the least, the season has been off to an odd start. There have been 6 upsets in 9 matches, twice as many as usual. My system makes it's largest adjustments in the first weeks to compensate for changes in team strength compared to last season. Every week, the teams have to defend their ratings. In the next two weeks, those adjustments will either prove to be correct or they will readjust. Be cautious betting for Weeks 3 and 4 while we find out if the upsets were due to bad luck or maybe those favoutites just aren't that good this season.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super 15 Week 3.doc (48.0 KB, 170 views)