#31
|
|||
|
|||
![]() So if what you are suggesting is that a staking system such as the one I mentioned, will not return as much as level stakes?
If so, prove it on a series of 37 spins with 18 winners. Your previous posts are just numbers on a screen to me. Don't know how you came up with them. Show me, a 37 spin series, showing level stakes compared with this staking system. If you are right, then I will lose more than $10. Forget about any limits, start at $10 and see where it takes you.... |
#32
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
I have now actually completely examined a 37 spin game, but first I'd like some indication that you'd be able to understand my results. A 2 spin-game is the simplest possible using your staking. How can you NOT understand it! Don't you understand what your 4 possible results will be? Are you unaware that the win probability is 18/37 and a loss is 19/37? Or that the probability of 2 independent events both occurring is the product of their individual probabilities? If you don't know what expectation is then google it up. Work through at least my simple 2-spin example. I suspect one of us will then learn something. Last edited by jfc : 7th August 2005 at 01:39 PM. Reason: stupid transposition |
#33
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
Your results should suggest 1 of 3 things. Equal to level stakes, returning a $10 loss. Worse, a loss of more than $10. Better, a loss of less than $10, or a win. If your results suggest 1 of these 3 things, then I will understand it... |
#34
|
|||
|
|||
![]() BJ,
calculating the expectation of a 2-spin game is too much for you, but you want me to spam out a 37-spin game? I'll just give you some of my results instead. $10 start, no limit, fractional increments (e.g. 12, 14.4, 17.28... ) Expectation = -$11.03725 which is worse than level -$10. You will win whenever you make 17 or more spins ~70% of the time. But the massive losses for 16 or fewer wins more than wipe out your losses. Last edited by jfc : 7th August 2005 at 03:24 PM. Reason: late night watching cricket bet fizzling |
#35
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
Lol. Read my post again. We start with a $10 bet, and every time we win we subtract $10 from the bet (unless the bet is $10). Every time we lose we add $10. The first 18 bets are all worth $10, so profit +180. The next 19 all lose, with each loss being worth $10 more than the last. You should do the maths again. Look, just drop it. Visit those websites I posted. Or, you can continue to think that you are smarter than everyone else, including all the casino's and mathematicians who have studied the probabilities/maths of gambling. |
#36
|
|||
|
|||
![]() Quote:
Yes, I just reread your post and I still can't find the words "unless the bet is $10". Where did you hide them.?? That staking system goes against everything I have been saying anyway, so I don't know what you gain by using it as an example. As far as the websites you posted, if I believed everything that was posted on the internet, I would be hiding under my bed so the little green men couldn't get me.... |
![]() |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|