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  #31  
Old 12th August 2005, 11:49 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Wish there were 8 starters. Carry On Cutie would be a magnificent each way bet. Dance Hero is obviously the one to beat, but if he wasn't there, I'd actually be quite confident with Carry On Cutie.
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  #32  
Old 12th August 2005, 11:55 AM
xanadu xanadu is offline
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Interesting Sportz, we'll have to see if there is any "smart" money for it.

Cheers.
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  #33  
Old 12th August 2005, 01:32 PM
xanadu xanadu is offline
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Default Interesting Race

Yes Mr ed, allowing for the fact that technically, she may still only be 2YO it will be very interesting to see if she can compete successfully against the more seasoned opposition.
It has all the hallmarks of developing into a very interesting race and should give us all a pointer to the prospects of all runners in the upcoming feature races.
All the best and good luck.

Cheers.
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  #34  
Old 12th August 2005, 03:46 PM
Mr ed Mr ed is offline
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Another i think is the 'class' tommorow is Stamen in Adelaide, he's a great horse with a terrific finishing sprint. He never came up last prep and has had a nice long spell, but he never races well during autumn for some reason but come springtime he's a ripper. Has placed 4 of 5 fresh, and with only 55kg he's a live chance IMO.
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  #35  
Old 13th August 2005, 02:03 PM
xanadu xanadu is offline
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Well.....the race is over and what a result!!....there is a belief that the rider of Dance Hero went too early and may have some explaining to do to connections.
If any astute punter backed Shania Dane let us know what your main consideration was. As it unfolded the race was set up for backmarkers but having said that, Shania Dane still had to be good enough to match it with these class sprinters.
I thought the task may be too much for Carry On Cutie because as I said in an earlier post she may still be a 2YO and it is asking too much for her to compete with other topliners notwithstanding her apparent weight advantage.

Cheers.

Last edited by xanadu : 13th August 2005 at 02:06 PM.
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  #36  
Old 13th August 2005, 02:10 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Well, obviously I was way off with Carry On Cutie. Sorry.

But seriously, how could you pick Shania Dane?
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  #37  
Old 13th August 2005, 02:31 PM
xanadu xanadu is offline
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Sportz, she will definitely pay her way this Spring so stay with her.
I "lucked out" in the race by investing on Dance Hero in the ratio of 1x5. Having said that, I noted with interest the other thread that indicated that in the longrun this may not be the best wagering method to follow(ie. 1x3, 1x4, 1x5...etc). We'll see what unfolds this Spring but it is my belief that successful wagering depends on your strike-rate accompanied by amounts wagered and result sequence...ie you could be down to your last unit and back a 40/1 winner thereby recouping all your previous losses and end up with a reasonable POT.

Cheers.
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  #38  
Old 13th August 2005, 02:48 PM
xanadu xanadu is offline
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Just as a side issue, I was watching the race on TVN and it had a very close shot of the finish with Lenny Beasley, head down, frantically riding his mount out "hands and heels" then whoosh...Shania Dane swept past, giving him a cold in the process.
Lenny looked across and the look on his face was priceless as all of his hard work to fight off Spark Of Life had come to nought. You really had to feel for the guy.
Spark Of Life should now be ready to amend next start so stay with him.

Cheers.
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  #39  
Old 13th August 2005, 03:57 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xanadu
If any astute punter backed Shania Dane let us know what your main consideration was.

Cheers.

Hi!
I have 10 criteria in my rating, and Shania Dane never came less then third, as a matter of fact it came second four times, in the individual ratings. and third in the overall.
Given the prices for the favs, and the price on offer, I would have been stupid not to back it.
I had them in this order 6-2-5-1
Cheers.

Last edited by lomaca : 13th August 2005 at 04:00 PM.
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  #40  
Old 13th August 2005, 04:10 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xanadu
I "lucked out" in the race by investing on Dance Hero in the ratio of 1x5.


Well, I got something back. I took a quinella with Dance Hero and the field. I was actually going to leave Shania Dane out of that bet, but I thought I may as well chuck her in with the others. Didn't honestly expect her to get up and win though.
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