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  #31  
Old 17th February 2008, 11:45 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Default Keep going

Mark

Please keep going. Don't let the hoodoo get to you. There's a small group of us that "get" it. Maria went through many such periods.
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #32  
Old 17th February 2008, 11:51 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Smile

Thanks Lomaca, but you misunderstood me. I have made a living off Betfair for the last 5 years, mainly laying, and will continue to do so. This "system" is simply one of many that I use and is profitable, just not the 3 weeks that I put it up here. Believe me I will keep using it (at a much higher rate than I quoted here) I just won't be putting the results here.

Pixie, if you like I'll put up my lays on a Saturday morning.
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  #33  
Old 18th February 2008, 03:57 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Hi Merriguy
I agree with you on the Radio Tab Tips & the others there.
There are angles to be had.

I have never understood the aggressive outcry when the subject comes up .
It tells me that they have never done any research on the subject.

For instance how many rating services does one know where they have a win SR of 59% in their top 3 & 45% with their top 2.
Non is the answer and its free & easy to operate over past history.

The TAB prices may be a concern , but one should be betting with Betfair if one is serious about value & contol of bet returns or a Bookie.

One plan that seems to work well is bet the Fav on Betfair to win if it is not shown in any of the Radio TABs tips .
This usually tells us that there is some smart money afoot because their form is usually terrible yet they get up to win.

There are some Lay ideas to be had there also.

Cheers.
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  #34  
Old 18th February 2008, 09:33 AM
pengo pengo is offline
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I've had modest success with backing horses where they are in the radiotab tips, track tipster tips and late mail tips. I'm currently sitting at a 79% strike rate, tho recently revised the selection critiera (which back testing removed a couple of my dnp selections). So hopefully going forward it'll increase the strike rate.
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  #35  
Old 20th February 2008, 06:22 PM
JoeF JoeF is offline
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Mark, before you disapear off into the ether, could you answer a question that has been bugging me.
Being a person who makes his living off the punt, (and from what I've read of your posting over the last couple of years I don't doubt it for a minute), do you still get a kick out of winning. ie: when you land a big plunge/win, do you punch the air, cooee out, and get all excited?
Or is it a case of just another day at the office.

I am just curious is all. I know I definately don't live off the punt, but I get mighty excited at times.


I think I have stumbled across something that you may have overlooked in regards to this laying method of yours, I will share it with you if you would care to email me at
joefarmeratourbrisbanedotcom
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  #36  
Old 23rd February 2008, 08:37 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Todays losers.

MR1 9,10
MR2 4,5,10,12
MR5 3,8
MR8 1,6,11
MR9 1,7,8,14

SR1 3
SR4 1,5,7
SR6 1,5,7,8,9
SR7 7
SR8 5,7,9

BR2 9
BR3 2,3,6,8,9,10
BR4 2,4,5,8,11,13,18
BR5 1,2,3,4,6,8,11,12,13,14,16,17,19
BR6 3,6,10,11
BR7 8,11,12,13
BR8 10,12

Joe

As a rule I try not to get too excited as I believe it has an affect on what you do, or don't do. Having said that, how can you not get excited when something you don't like gets beaten at 2's on or one you do like gets up at big odds. Doug's Mate the other week springs to mind. I laid him, he just had too many question marks to be that short, and I had the winner 2nd pick, so it was a nice result. Most races I usually take a small % of my t/o as profit.
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  #37  
Old 23rd February 2008, 09:55 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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I missed MR3 11.
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  #38  
Old 23rd February 2008, 10:36 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Great Mark. Thanks all the best today.

PS: Do you use this technique during the week?
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #39  
Old 23rd February 2008, 07:16 PM
JoeF JoeF is offline
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Good to hear you still get a kick out of it Mark, wouldn't be dead for quids.
Further to the earlier post, I noticed that all bar one of the winners for the method in the last 2 weeks opened shorter than it's pre-post price. it may have been a bit of a false alarm though, as most of them did shorten. Maybe something to look out for though.
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  #40  
Old 24th February 2008, 12:24 PM
Mark Mark is offline
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A winning day yesterday.

Joe, I sent you an email yesterday, just wondering if you received it.

Pixie, I tried it, but it didn't seem to work midweek. Lots of horses getting around with bad win % and/or haven't won for ages, and lots of them seemed to win. I even tried adjusting the win rate to 10% or less and it still wasn't consistent.

Last edited by Mark : 24th February 2008 at 12:26 PM.
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