This idea has had some success.

Target races with 12 + runners.
TAB fav has to be paying $3.80+
Back the 3rd,4th,5th,6th & maybe 7th Fav , prices permitting.

These type of races can produce some big payers.

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Cheers.

Hi!
In my database there are app.140 000 horses with a starting price of <= $4.00 (Vic TAB).
Out these were 38 000 winners. Not a lot really!
Cheers!

Bahgwan,
if there are any other restrictions you would like to add, post away, but it's been reset at those you mention, selecting 3rd,4th,5th and 6th fav.
4 selections and it has to find value at the same time.
So it will scan every race from today.

"new balance" 7500.

By about Sunday it would show best what's happening.

Well,

i thought that would be the case, scarry stuff !

So if one as Bahgwan sujests takes the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th and maybe 7th, obviously the "strike rate" would be not as high leaving out the two favourites but the pay would be higher and due to the capabilities of throwing in another nag that would probabally give us a reasonable strike rate (everything works out in the wash).

Obviously with first and second favs gone, our hit rate would be less and then we would expect a good % return which should cover the longer runs of outs,

Bahgwan,........i know youll have it,come on !............what sort of staking plan for this one ? I recon with the high return odds, we could expect:

Bank 1000, x 3
5% initial bet= 50 units
next bet=75 units
next bet=113 units
next bet=175 units etc.

Kenchar,
Same same,...i dont use this idea for my normal day to day stuff, but i always find myself coming back and looking at it also, there is just something in the back of my mind that says "give it just a little go boy, go on, just try it", i had a couple of 100 unit bets at the local last weekend(which i never do) and took the old trusty thongs and my nokia 9210 with my "partially finnished excel dutch" programme installed, two bets and out the door with a fist full of fifties, but i think the gods were looking at me favourablly that day so i left it at that and had take away courtousy of nsw tab.

I still recon it would work and im sure many, many have thought this before me and are now probabally in the poor home or have discovered how to read the form and how to pick horses for the win !

Puntz,

Sorry mate, im not really up to your standards here, im not really sure what you mean but is it feasable to say you can punch in my "thoughts" into like a hypothetical bet machine and see how it goes "live" ? hence "balance A -42.9? i take it that you have punched it in and it is showing a loss, woldnt surprise me.
Like i said, im pretty new to all of this and i dont have computers and info that do what you blokes can do, but it would be interesting to see how what Bahgwan and Kenchar sujest would go, maybe target 3,4,5,6 and 7 leaving out the 1st and 2nd with some sort of progressive staking plan, maybe the retirement with a divisor of about:? with a really big bank.

I think it was Partypooper sugested once to combine all the individual bets for that day and make them as one figure, then re calculate the next days outlay as a bulk figure then spread that over your chosen races,

Anyway, its the thought that counts !

Cheers all
Dingo

Dingo,

I have a scanner, it scans the markets and it can be set to look for parameters, then print those races if those parameters are found.
More than one set of parameters can be forward tested at the same time.

Basicaly it does what one would calculate using a calculator.
There is a every 5 minutes sometimes.

So what is here is not a database of past events, it is going to happen.
Selecting in this method is one of many the scanner can do.

But you asked what will happen if you omit the fav and bet on the next 3,4 or whatever, and this scanner can be set to do just that.
Like I mentioned earlier, hedging/dutch betting is easy.
All is on test, but if you want to add real $$, be my guest.
Are you confident to invest 7500 ?
I use the figure of 7500 cos when it losses, it needs about that amount to chase losses.
I no longer use this favourite method myself, but if we must test it for what it's worth, save you the trouble at least if ya new here.

Hi Puntz,

You guys amaze me,
I bet that scanner jobby of yours has got its own remote control too ! sounds like its "the bees knees"

Nah, dont waste your time testing this one out, i was just curious as to what things would look like, i DO trust what i read and im sure you fellas have looked at just about everything, i will stick to my place bets i think, just throwing things into the air to see what comes down.

Just out of curiosity though, what was your starting figure for the bank of 7500, id expect a pretty high run of outs hey.

Dingo

Well, I have set it up and post results after the last race Sunday or there abouts for the record at least.

Thanks Puntz,
hope you didnt waste too much time, i look forward to your results

Dingo

hey guys
1) i think it is bad punting to lay 1st and 2nd fav i reckon you lay them based on price not just because it,s fav.
2) i also reckon you need to set target for each day and walk away after reached.
3) i also think you should do same with loses set amount you are prepared to lose on that day and if you reach that walk away.even staking a % of bank and recalculating after each lose.
and can someone run these rules thru
1) fav is odds on
2)2nd fav is $3.50 or better
3)3rd fav is $4.50 or better.
cheers

Heres another idea
If the combined odds of the 2 Favs is less than the 3rd fav ,we will assume its going to be a 2 horse war.

You will note that I said odds not prices ,so one must add up the 2 prices then deduct 2 so as to reflect the odds , now compare this to the odds of the 3rd fav by taking its price minus one.
If the odds of the 2 favs works out less than the 3rd fav ,it becomes a bettable race.
E.g. $3.00 ,3.90, 6.00 Favs in order. this would be a bettable race

What will also assume is that they are going to burn one another out when challenging one another.

Therefore there will be some real value to be had on the 3rd,4th,5th,6th favs.
Back them all when we see this situation.

Some of the divs can be incredable.

Take all the divs at 1 min till jump time & place ones bets accordingly.

Dutch Bet Staking plan
Would be to increase your bet by 50% each time , repeat the bet after a winner if still not in front.
Go for a max of 7 outs ,then start again.
We need to get 2 winning races in a row to clear the decks.

Cheers.

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Cheers.